Red Sox vs. Royals Prediction, Odds, Picks – August 6

Data Skrive

Maikel Garcia and Trevor Story will hit the field when the Kansas City Royals and Boston Red Sox meet on Wednesday at Fenway Park. The Royals are listed as +119 moneyline underdogs in this matchup with the favored Red Sox (-141). Boston is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The over/under is 8.5 runs for the matchup.

Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Red Sox-Royals game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Red Sox vs. Royals Game Information & Odds

• When: Wednesday, August 6, 2025 at 7:10 p.m. ET
• Where: Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts
• How to watch on TV: NESN and FDSKC

Red Sox vs. Royals Prediction

• Score Prediction: Red Sox 5, Royals 4
• Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Red Sox 56%, Royals 44%

Red Sox vs. Royals Betting Insights

• The Red Sox have won 42, or 60.9%, of the 69 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
• Boston has a record of 14-12 in games when bookmakers favor them by at least -141 on the moneyline.
• The sportsbooks’ moneyline implies a 58.5% chance of a victory for the Red Sox.
• The Royals have been victorious in 32, or 45.7%, of the 70 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• Kansas City has a win-loss record of 16-16 when favored by +119 or worse by bookmakers this year.
• The Royals have an implied victory probability of 45.7% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Red Sox Recent Betting Performance

• The Red Sox won each of the five games it played as a moneyline favorite over their last 10 matchups.
• Over their last 10 matchups (all had set totals), the Red Sox combined with their opponents to go over the run total five times.
• The Red Sox are 9-1-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Red Sox Recent Stats

Red Sox Player Insights

• Jarren Duran is outstanding at both finding his way aboard and doing damage when he’s at the plate. Duran leads the Red Sox this season with a .329 OBP, .465 slugging percentage, and 120 hits.
• Among all batters in baseball, Duran’s home run total places him 116th, and his RBI tally puts him 32nd.
• Duran has collected a hit in two games in a row. During his last five outings he is batting .333 with three doubles, two home runs and eight RBIs.
• Ceddanne Rafaela’s .266 batting average leads his team.
• Rafaela is 93rd in home runs in MLB, and 76th in RBI.
• Story has racked up a team-best 72 runs batted in.
• Story is on a seven-game hitting streak entering this contest. In his last 10 games he is batting .333 with four doubles, three home runs, four walks and 12 RBIs.
• Wilyer Abreu has shown his power as he leads his team with 20 home runs.
• Abreu brings a two-game streak with at least one hit into this one. In his last five games he is batting .294 with a double, a walk and six RBIs.

Red Sox Team Props

Royals Recent Betting Performance

• The Royals have played as underdogs in six of their past 10 games and won two of those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Royals and their opponents have failed to hit the over three times.
• The Royals have five wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Royals Recent Stats

Royals Player Insights

• Bobby Witt Jr. is hitting .287 with 37 doubles, four triples, 16 home runs and 37 walks, while getting on base at a rate of .341.
• Among all hitters in MLB, Witt ranks 67th in homers and 39th in RBI.
• Witt has collected a hit in three games in a row. In his last five games he is hitting .263 with a double, a triple, a home run, four walks and three RBIs.
• Garcia has a club-high .300 batting average.
• Garcia is currently 128th in home runs and 80th in RBI in the major leagues.
• Vinnie Pasquantino has collected a team-high 67 runs batted in.
• Salvador Perez has launched a team-high 20 home runs.

Royals Team Props

Royals vs. Red Sox Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments from this MLB matchup between the Kansas City Royals and the Boston Red Sox.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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