- The Royals are -150 favorites vs the White Sox
- Royals vs White Sox Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Royals / White Sox TV Channel: FDKC | CHSN
The Kansas City Royals (-150) visit Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (+125) on Monday, August 25, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Chicago, IL.
This season, the Royals are 67-64 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 75-55 ATS.
Royals vs White Sox Starting Pitchers Today:
- Royals starting pitcher: Noah Cameron 7-5, 2.54 ERA
- White Sox starting pitcher: Shane Smith 3-7, 4.07 ERA
Royals vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Royals | -1.5 +115 | O 8.5 -118 | -150 |
| White Sox | +1.5 -140 | U 8.5 -102 | +125 |
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Royals will win Monday‘s MLB game with 55.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+31.10 Units / 444% ROI)
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the RBIs Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+14.25 Units / 57% ROI)
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Runs Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+9.10 Units / 29% ROI)
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.75 Units / 46% ROI)
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 7 games (+8.65 Units / 124% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Colson Montgomery has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 9 games at home (+22.75 Units / 253% ROI)
- Miguel Vargas has hit the Runs Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+13.00 Units / 52% ROI)
- Colson Montgomery has hit the RBIs Over in 7 of his last 9 games at home (+11.30 Units / 126% ROI)
- Luis Robert has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+11.10 Units / 38% ROI)
- Colson Montgomery has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+9.95 Units / 30% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 80 of their last 131 games (+24.70 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 36 of their last 53 away games (+15.10 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 70 of their last 123 games (+12.60 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 27 of their last 52 away games (+11.50 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 46 games (+10.55 Units / 19% ROI)
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 45 of their last 65 games at home (+21.40 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 43 of their last 106 games (+15.60 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 64 of their last 106 games (+12.55 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 33 of their last 52 games at home (+11.29 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 24 of their last 38 games (+7.05 Units / 15% ROI)
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are 68-62 against the Run Line (-5.6 Units / -3.12% ROI).
- 67-64 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.4 Units / 1.52% ROI
- 57-73 when betting on the total runs Over for -22.67 Units / -15.82% ROI
- 73-57 when betting on the total runs Under for +10.1 Units / 6.97% ROI
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 75-55 against the Run Line (+9.35 Units / 5.73% ROI).
- 47-83 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.06 Units / -11.52% ROI
- 59-62 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.6 Units / -6.7% ROI
- 62-59 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.3 Units / -2.31% ROI
White Sox vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today
White Sox vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
White Sox vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today
White Sox vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Noah Cameron has allowed a slugging percentage of just .168 (24 Total Bases / 143 ABs) on breaking pitches this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 51 total IP; League Avg: .384 — 100th Percentile.
Noah Cameron has a strike rate of just 61% (729/1,187) against right-handed batters this season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 51 total IP; League Avg: 65% — fifth Percentile.
2-3-4 Hitters have hit just .143 against Noah Cameron this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 51 total IP; League Avg: .253 — 100th Percentile.
Noah Cameron has allowed a slugging percentage of just .244 (20 Total Bases / 82 ABs) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 51 total IP; League Avg: .434 — 97th Percentile.
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Shane Smith has walked 17% of batters when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (4 games) — 2nd highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 7% — fourth Percentile.
Shane Smith has walked 17% of batters when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (4 games) — tied for 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — fourth Percentile.
Opponents are hitless in 34 AB’s against Shane Smith on pitches in the chase zone this season — tied for best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 51 total IP; League Avg: .098 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 33% (53/160) against Shane Smith this month (4 games) — 7th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 93rd Percentile.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Royals are 59-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .957.
The Royals were just 4-50 (.074) when they allowed 5 or more runs in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .196.
The Royals were just 5-28 (.152) when allowing 2 or more home runs in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .289.
The Royals are 38-19 (.667) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses this season They play the White Sox (Ranks 27th runs scored) today.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The White Sox are just 72-34 (.679) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .864.
The White Sox are just 76-20 (.792) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .903.
The White Sox were just 33-23 (.589) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .856.
The White Sox are just 14-73 (.161) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .286.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters have an OPS of just .903 (928 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 1.072.
Royals hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA’s this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Royals hitters have struck out in just 17% of their PA’s against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Royals are batting just .286 in hitter’s counts this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .335.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
The White Sox have a winning percentage of just 25% on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
White Sox hitters have an OPS of just .651 (12,538 PA’s) against RHP since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .723.
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .289 (7,942 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.
White Sox hitters are slugging just .361 against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .409.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 20% against Royals pitchers this month (22 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
The Royals pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 88.7 MPH this season (3,354 balls in play) — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 89.4
Royals pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 88.7 MPH (3,354 batted balls) this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 89.4.
Royals pitchers have an ERA of 3.64 (1165.2 IP) this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 4.15.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
White Sox pitchers have walked 12% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this month (21 games) — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
White Sox pitchers have won only 10% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
White Sox pitchers walked 643 of 6,241 batters (10%) in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
White Sox pitchers have walked 17% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the past seven days (6 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
More MLB Reading:
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