{"id":2177769,"date":"2025-11-26T15:10:08","date_gmt":"2025-11-26T15:10:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/celebrity.land\/en\/?p=2177769"},"modified":"2025-11-26T15:10:08","modified_gmt":"2025-11-26T15:10:08","slug":"my-2025-contemporary-baseball-era-vote-and-predictions","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/celebrity.land\/en\/my-2025-contemporary-baseball-era-vote-and-predictions\/","title":{"rendered":"My 2025 Contemporary Baseball Era vote and predictions"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><\/p>\n<div id=\"zephr-anchor\">\n<div class=\"duet--article--article-body-component\">\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">I love baseball\u2019s offseason.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"duet--article--article-body-component\">\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Not only do we have teams making moves, trying to either get better in the now or for the future, but there\u2019s a ton of other stuff going on that we can discuss. Awards are being handed out, there\u2019s the upcoming draft lottery, and then there\u2019s perhaps the biggest thing of them all: voting for the Hall of Fame.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"duet--article--article-body-component\">\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">This year, in addition to the regular crop of candidates on the ballot for the Hall of Fame, the Hall is also taking a look at eight players in what it\u2019s calling the \u201ccontemporary baseball player\u201d era, which they\u2019ve defined as those \u201cwhose most significant career impact was realized since 1980.\u201d<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"duet--article--article-body-component\">\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">There are eight candidates on this year\u2019s era\u2019s ballot, which is to be voted on by 16 people involved in the game on December 7, during the Winter Meetings. To get in, a player needs votes on 75% of the votes cast by the committee.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"duet--article--article-body-component\">\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">To remain on the ballot the next time the Contemporary Baseball Era committee meets, a player needs at least five of 16 votes. Starting this year, if a player fails to receive five of the 16 votes, he is not eligible to return to voting the next time this particular era meets, which is in December of 2028.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"duet--article--article-body-component\">\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Here\u2019s the knockout punch, though: if a player fails to receive five of the 16 votes in multiple appearances on any Era committee ballots, he will not be eligible for future ballot consideration.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"duet--article--article-body-component\">\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">I have a feeling this new rule is about certain players on this particular ballot.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"duet--article--article-body-component\">\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Below, I\u2019m going to give to you my votes for each of the era\u2019s current eight candidates along with a prediction. The prediction is based off several years of reading about how Hall of Fame voters vote. I garnered that mainly from Joe Posnanski who went into it a lot on his blog. I don\u2019t subscribe to his blog anymore for several reasons, but it\u2019s not because of his baseball writing.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"duet--article--article-body-component\">\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Others have also written extensively on this subject\u2014that subject being how the Hall of Fame molds its museum based on the appointment of its committee members. Aside from Posnanski, both Bill James and Jay Jaffe have written books on the matter. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/blogs.fangraphs.com\/election-season-bonds-and-clemens-lead-the-contemporary-baseball-ballot\/\">Jaffe wrote a post about the matter earlier this November<\/a> over at FanGraphs. I urge you to check it out.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"duet--article--article-body-component\">\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Let\u2019s take these guys in alphabetical order, shall we?<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"duet--article--article-body-component\">\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\"><strong><em>My Vote<\/em><\/strong>: Yes! Of course! Aside from Shohei Ohtani, Bonds is the best player in my lifetime. From his rookie season in Pittsburgh throughout his entire time in San Francisco, Bonds posted amazing, breathtaking numbers. He captured two MVP Awards while a Pirate before earning another five while a Giant. He set the single-season home run mark with 73 in 2001 while breaking Henry Aaron\u2019s all-time mark during his final season in 2007, finishing with a mind-boggling 762.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"duet--article--article-body-component\">\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Check out <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/b\/bondsba01.shtml\">his baseball-reference page<\/a>. It\u2019s littered in bold and italics. He walked, hit for power, hit for average, stole bases, scored runs, drove in runs, hit doubles, hit triples, did whatever was needed from him while up to bat.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"duet--article--article-body-component\">\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Just an amazing overall player.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"duet--article--article-body-component\">\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\"><strong><em>My Prediction<\/em><\/strong>: No! Of course not! Unless you\u2019re absolutely new to the game of baseball, you know the problems and controversies surrounding Bonds. You think the Hall is going to let him in? After he topped out at receiving 66% of the writers\u2019 votes? No way. I\u2019m convinced that Bonds is the main, if not sole, reason for the rule change disallowing players from remaining on the ballot if they don\u2019t receive five votes, and getting rid of them for good if that happens a second time.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"duet--article--article-body-component\">\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">The Hall of Fame not only for the best, but for the greatest human beings. It cannot be defiled having Bonds in it beside the likes of Ty Cobb!<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"duet--article--article-body-component\">\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\"><strong><em>My Vote<\/em><\/strong>: Yes, he\u2019d have it. Not only did he dominate, but he did so in an entertaining fashion\u2014via strikeout. He pumped out innings as well as swings-and-misses on his journey to two World Series, one MVP Award, and seven Cy Youngs.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"duet--article--article-body-component\">\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">I\u2019m particularly enamored with his two-year Toronto stint in 1997 and 1998: two Cy Youngs, 41-13, 498-and-2\/3-innings pitched, 563 strikeouts, 2.33 ERA (196 ERA+), 2.44 FIP, and 1.061 WHIP over 67 games started.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"duet--article--article-body-component\">\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\"><strong><em>My Prediction<\/em><\/strong>: No, he won\u2019t get in, which is another same. He spent just as long as Bonds on the regular ballot\u201410 years\u2014and topped out at 65.2%. The committee <em>should<\/em> vote him in. A player of his prestige belongs alongside the other greats, most of whom are his lesser. But I\u2019m not counting on it.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"duet--article--article-body-component\">\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\"><strong><em>My Vote<\/em><\/strong>: No. I\u2019m somewhat surprised Delgado made this list. While both Bonds and Clemens spent 10 years on the writers\u2019 ballot, Delgado appeared just once, in 2015, receiving 3.8% of the vote. You\u2019re telling me the writers missed that badly?<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"duet--article--article-body-component\">\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">No, I don\u2019t buy it. Delgado had a very solid career, but outside of a trio of Silver Slugger Awards, never won another major award, made only two All-Star Games, and only led the league in a major statistical category a handful of times throughout his 17-year career.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"duet--article--article-body-component\">\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">A great career, sure, but not one for Cooperstown.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"duet--article--article-body-component\">\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\"><strong><em>My Vote<\/em><\/strong>: No. And I love Jeff Kent! First of all, such a cool, direct name: Jeff Kent. But he also played for some memorable teams (to me, at least): particularly that 1996 Cleveland squad, his years with Bonds in San Francisco, and as a menace to the Cardinals while an Astro.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"duet--article--article-body-component\">\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">He won the NL MVP in 2000, but I\u2019m not sure why. Yes, he had a great season, which, by bWAR, was the best of his career, but he didn\u2019t lead the league in anything, including said bWAR (7.2). Bonds posted a higher bWAR as did several others, including Andruw Jones, Randy Johnson, and Todd Helton, who led the NL with 8.9. I know the MVP isn\u2019t based solely off WAR, nor should it be, nor was it even much of a consideration 25 years ago, but that\u2019s a stark difference.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"duet--article--article-body-component\">\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Like Delgado, Kent had a very good career, not a great one.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"duet--article--article-body-component\">\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\"><strong><em>My Prediction<\/em><\/strong>: Yes. And here\u2019s why: they need to vote in somebody! And after Bonds, Clemens, and Sheffield, who I\u2019ll get to soon, Kent\u2019s the best of the bunch. MLB isn\u2019t going to announce these votes live on its flagship show, MLB Tonight, on December 7 without announcing at least one new member. That would be rather embarrassing. A huge letdown. What would even be the point of this era committee?<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"duet--article--article-body-component\">\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\"><strong><em>My Vote<\/em><\/strong>: No. Mattingly had an incredible three-year stretch from 1984 through 1986, but the rest of his career lacked. He was good, don\u2019t get me wrong, and he still had another couple top-20 MVP finishes in him (including seventh in 1987), but the numbers aren\u2019t there.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"duet--article--article-body-component\">\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\"><strong><em>My Vote<\/em><\/strong>: No. Murphy broke into the league young and had an excellent stretch beginning between 1982 and 1987, but outside of those six years, he didn\u2019t accomplish enough. Much like Mattingly, he considerably wore down after his peak years.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"duet--article--article-body-component\">\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\"><strong><em>My Vote<\/em><\/strong>: Yes. Sheffield rocked. I\u2019ve told this story several times\u2014the hardest hit ball I\u2019ve ever personally seen or heard came off the bat off Gary Sheffield. A Tiger then, he annihilated the offering from a Kansas City Royals pitcher, blasting the ball out of the park to left field. Such a violent swing, the sound truly startled me.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"duet--article--article-body-component\">\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">A career .907 OPS certainly helps.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"duet--article--article-body-component\">\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\"><strong><em>My Prediction<\/em><\/strong>: No. This is making me sad. See Bonds and Clemens for the reasoning.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"duet--article--article-body-component\">\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\"><strong><em>My Vote<\/em><\/strong>: No. Did anyone else realize that he last pitched in 1997? I had no idea his career lasted that long. Nonetheless, he did very little after 1986. His first full year, 1981, was incredible, as he guided the Dodgers to the World Series. He won awards for both Rookie of the Year <em>and<\/em> Cy Young that season. He followed it up with three more top-five Cy Young finishes in the next five years, including ending as the runner-up to Houston\u2019s Mike Scott in 1986.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"duet--article--article-body-component\">\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">That, unfortunately, was pretty much it.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"duet--article--article-body-component\">\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">There you have it. If I voted, the following players would get in:<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"duet--article--article-body-component\">\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Barry Bonds, Roger Clemens, and Gary Sheffield.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"duet--article--article-body-component\">\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">And I predict the only player that will actually get the call is one Jeff Kent.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"duet--article--article-body-component\">\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">What\u2019s everyone else think?<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><em> \u2018 The preceding article may include information circulated by third parties \u2019 <\/em><\/p>\n<p><em> \u2018 Some details of this article were extracted from the following source www.royalsreview.com \u2019 <\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>I love baseball\u2019s offseason. Not only do we have teams making moves, trying to either get better in the now or for the future, but there\u2019s a ton of other stuff going on that we can discuss. Awards are being handed out, there\u2019s the upcoming draft lottery, and then there\u2019s perhaps the biggest thing of [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":2177770,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"jnews-multi-image_gallery":[],"jnews_single_post":[],"jnews_primary_category":[],"jnews_social_meta":[],"footnotes":""},"categories":[43],"tags":[340874],"class_list":["post-2177769","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-royalty","tag-royals-editorials-reactions"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/celebrity.land\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/My-2025-Contemporary-Baseball-Era-vote-and-predictions.jpg","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/celebrity.land\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2177769","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/celebrity.land\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/celebrity.land\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/celebrity.land\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/celebrity.land\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2177769"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/celebrity.land\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2177769\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":2177771,"href":"https:\/\/celebrity.land\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2177769\/revisions\/2177771"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/celebrity.land\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/2177770"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/celebrity.land\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2177769"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/celebrity.land\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2177769"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/celebrity.land\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2177769"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}