{"id":2191998,"date":"2025-12-09T05:19:40","date_gmt":"2025-12-09T05:19:40","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/celebrity.land\/en\/?p=2191998"},"modified":"2025-12-09T05:19:40","modified_gmt":"2025-12-09T05:19:40","slug":"the-royals-probably-arent-trading-a-starting-pitcher-for-a-bat","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/celebrity.land\/en\/the-royals-probably-arent-trading-a-starting-pitcher-for-a-bat\/","title":{"rendered":"The Royals probably aren\u2019t trading a starting pitcher for a bat"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><\/p>\n<div id=\"zephr-anchor\">\n<div class=\"duet--article--article-body-component\">\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">The winter meetings have started, and rumors are flying around everywhere. The Pirates are getting perhaps the biggest pop from rumors that they\u2019ve offered a four-year deal to Kyle Schwarber. How much money was in the four-year offer? Well, Dan Szymborski has one idea:<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"duet--article--article-body-component\">\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">The actual rumors have the Pirates offering him something north of $100 million, which would easily be the largest contract in team history. It\u2019s easy to scoff at that, but then I\u2019d remind you that the richest free agent contract in Royals\u2019 history is the 4 years\/$72 million they forked over to Alex Gordon, so it would be the biggest deal in Royals\u2019 history too.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"duet--article--article-body-component\">\n<p><h2 class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup\">The Royals can\u2019t do more platoons<\/h2>\n<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"duet--article--article-body-component\">\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">The Royals got off to a hot start in the rumor mill this offseason; it seemed like everyone was talking about how they might pursue Ketel Marte, Jarren Duran, or Brendan Donovan. Those rumors have cooled off, especially as the Red Sox have already traded for a pair of starting pitchers and now seem set on adding to their lineup instead. Now, the biggest rumors are the assumptions we all ended the season with: the Royals probably want to reunite with Mike Yastrzemski and Adam Frazier.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"duet--article--article-body-component\">\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">And, in a vacuum, both of those make sense. The Royals were much better after acquiring those two players. They clearly value Frazier for his veteran presence, at the very least, and both offered the kind of professional at-bats that had been largely missing from KC\u2019s lineup in 2025, even if the results weren\u2019t always there. Here are their finishing slash lines with the Royals:<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"duet--article--article-body-component\">\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Adam Frazier: .283\/.320\/.402\/.722 &#8211; 98 wRC+<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"duet--article--article-body-component\">\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Mike Yastrzemski: .237\/.339\/.500\/.839 &#8211; 127 wRC+.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"duet--article--article-body-component\">\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">But a weird thing happens if you lop off the final day of the 2025 season, a game that absolutely didn\u2019t matter for either team; Yaz\u2019s line becomes .230\/.331\/.461 &#8211; 115 wRC+. He hit two home runs in his final two at-bats of the season, and the sample size is so small that those two at-bats (plus the others he took that day) can drastically alter his line. There\u2019s no arguing that Yaz wasn\u2019t a breath of fresh air for the team last summer, but he was still unplayable against lefties, and when you expand the sample size, he\u2019s been nearly exactly a league-average hitter for the last two full seasons.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"duet--article--article-body-component\">\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Still, Yastrzemski could make sense for the Royals in a world where they didn\u2019t already have a left-handed outfielder destined to get most of the playing time in right field. And one with a lot more upside, even if he\u2019s a lot less proven. The Royals can only carry so many platoons on their roster, and considering they\u2019ve already got two second basemen who can\u2019t hit (plus a third if they brought back Frazier), there just doesn\u2019t seem to be room for platoons in both left and right field.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"duet--article--article-body-component\">\n<p><h2 class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup\">The Royals\u2019 trade market didn\u2019t develop<\/h2>\n<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"duet--article--article-body-component\">\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">The biggest rumors around the Royals were about their alleged starting pitching depth and how Kris Bubic or Noah Cameron might bring them back the outfield bat they so craved. But then things started to happen. The Angels traded away long-coveted outfielder Taylor Ward for Orioles starter Grayson Rodriguez. At first, this seemed easy to dismiss as the Orioles being the Orioles or the Angels being the Angels. The Orioles seemed to be giving up on a starter with lots of team control and true ace potential. The Angels didn\u2019t require a physical to be performed on their newest acquisition. One of the teams was making a truly boneheaded decision.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"duet--article--article-body-component\">\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Then the rumors continued to persist that whatever deal might develop between the Royals and Red Sox would potentially involve Cole Ragans for Jarren Duran in some combination. Kris Bubic and Noah Cameron weren\u2019t on anyone\u2019s radar, apparently. Very little becomes clear this early in the MLB offseason, but one thing has this year. Teams aren\u2019t valuing starting pitching the same way that they have in the past. Or the way that the Royals hoped they would.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"duet--article--article-body-component\">\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Oh sure, some starting pitchers are still considered quite valuable. Look no further than the deal Dylan Cease signed with the Blue Jays for evidence of that. But \u201cace potential\u201d doesn\u2019t go as far as it once did. Neither does a good ERA if it isn\u2019t backed up by the other statistics. The Royals have a bunch of starting pitchers, but seemingly not ones that anyone actually wants.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"duet--article--article-body-component\">\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Brian Henry made an excellent &#8211; and correct &#8211; argument that the Royals probably had the depth to endure a major league season, but <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.royalsreview.com\/royals-analysis-sabermetrics-stats\/90468\/do-the-royals-have-enough-starting-pitchers\">not to also trade from<\/a> about a month ago. But, what if we also evaluated the Royals\u2019 pitching depth from a more glass-half-empty perspective at the same time?<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"duet--article--article-body-component\">\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Seth Lugo &#8211; untradeable because of his brand new extension. Not to mention how poorly he pitched in August and how he went on the IL and didn\u2019t come back.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"duet--article--article-body-component\">\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Michael Wacha &#8211; untradeable because of the money left on his contract at his age, and considering even as he has been solid for the Royals, he hasn\u2019t been anything approaching elite.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"duet--article--article-body-component\">\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Noah Cameron &#8211; Not untradeable, but won\u2019t garner a return worth dealing a local kid with tons of cheap team control who might continue to exhibit the ability to pitch beyond his peripherals.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"duet--article--article-body-component\">\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Kris Bubic &#8211; Not untradeable, but lacking the kind of value that would make trading him appealing, considering his injury history.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"duet--article--article-body-component\">\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Cole Ragans &#8211; Has value, but not as much as he had following the 2024 season, and with too much team control and upside to give up on for what teams would be willing to pay for him now.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"duet--article--article-body-component\">\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Ryan Bergert &#8211; Untradeable following a forearm injury, and the small sample size of success he had with the Royals before that.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"duet--article--article-body-component\">\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Stephen Kolek &#8211; Lacks the peripherals to cause a team to give up much for him; that\u2019s how he got included in the trade to the Royals for Freddy Fermin to begin with.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"duet--article--article-body-component\">\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Luinder Avila &#8211; Probably not even a starting pitcher at the big league level<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"duet--article--article-body-component\">\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Bailey Falter &#8211; Potentially tradeable, but not for anything more than what the Royals gave up to get him in the first place &#8211; an aging AAAA player.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"duet--article--article-body-component\">\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Given what we know now, it seems easy to imagine that the Royals offered up Kris Bubic for Taylor Ward &#8211; a move that would have been an overpay on the Royals\u2019 part, given that Bubic could very easily be a qualifying offer candidate next year and bring back a first-round draft pick in addition to whatever he gives you on the field. But the Orioles were willing and able* to outbid them.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"duet--article--article-body-component\">\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">*<em>It\u2019s still a really weird move for the Orioles, given their glut of young bats and lack of starting pitching. But even if the deal isn\u2019t <\/em>just<em> the Orioles being the Orioles, it can <\/em>also<em> be the Orioles being the Orioles.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"duet--article--article-body-component\">\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">So, even if the Royals had enough depth to trade from without creating holes in their 2026 rotation, you can see that &#8211; at least the way things have worked out &#8211; they don\u2019t have anyone worth trading. As it turns out, yes, teams probably were interested in Kris Bubic and Cole Ragans, but only because they thought they might be able to get them at a discount. The Royals have no real reason to lower their prices, considering how valuable those two can be on their staff in 2026, and that the returns would be underwhelming toward their goal of improving their lineup. So the trades just won\u2019t happen.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"duet--article--article-body-component\">\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">This is what happens when a team goes years and years of making terrible draft selections &#8211; something the Royals cannot deny happened as they left their last three eligible first-round picks all unprotected in this week\u2019s upcoming Rule 5 draft. When it comes time to fill in the final holes in a good-but-not-great roster, you don\u2019t have the prospects to promote or trade, and teams almost never do major league-for-major league talent trades anymore. Certainly not at the levels the Royals are trying to accomplish.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"duet--article--article-body-component\">\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">That means the Royals\u2019 only choice is to go out and add to their team via free agency or not at all. Considering the team needs to keep Bobby Witt Jr. happy or risk losing him to another team, which could greatly harm their standing in the community, making it more difficult to convince someone else to pay for the new stadium they want or even to sell tickets, \u201cnot at all\u201d won\u2019t work for a second season in a row.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"duet--article--article-body-component\">\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">The Royals stand at a crossroads that no longer crosses. They thought they had a path laid out for themselves, but Billy Beane\u2019s army burned the bridge in that direction &#8211; with a little help from the Royals joining the ranks of teams that have found ways to improve pitchers through coaching techniques that have drastically improved in recent years. The only path forward for the Royals is to tread the toll road of free agency. They may not want to pay the fee to get to their destination, but they no longer have that choice, and they can no longer afford to be cheap about it, either.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><em> \u2018 The preceding article may include information circulated by third parties \u2019 <\/em><\/p>\n<p><em> \u2018 Some details of this article were extracted from the following source www.royalsreview.com \u2019 <\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The winter meetings have started, and rumors are flying around everywhere. The Pirates are getting perhaps the biggest pop from rumors that they\u2019ve offered a four-year deal to Kyle Schwarber. How much money was in the four-year offer? Well, Dan Szymborski has one idea: The actual rumors have the Pirates offering him something north of [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":2191999,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"jnews-multi-image_gallery":[],"jnews_single_post":[],"jnews_primary_category":[],"jnews_social_meta":[],"footnotes":""},"categories":[43],"tags":[242317,386045],"class_list":["post-2191998","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-royalty","tag-hok-talk","tag-royals-trade-rumors-hot-stove"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/celebrity.land\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/The-Royals-probably-arent-trading-a-starting-pitcher-for-a.jpg","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/celebrity.land\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2191998","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/celebrity.land\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/celebrity.land\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/celebrity.land\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/celebrity.land\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2191998"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/celebrity.land\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2191998\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":2192000,"href":"https:\/\/celebrity.land\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2191998\/revisions\/2192000"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/celebrity.land\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/2191999"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/celebrity.land\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2191998"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/celebrity.land\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2191998"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/celebrity.land\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2191998"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}