{"id":2268544,"date":"2026-02-05T20:28:19","date_gmt":"2026-02-05T20:28:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/celebrity.land\/en\/?p=2268544"},"modified":"2026-02-05T20:28:19","modified_gmt":"2026-02-05T20:28:19","slug":"why-the-tencent-music-entertainment-group-nysetme-story-is-shifting-after-mixed-analyst-calls","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/celebrity.land\/en\/why-the-tencent-music-entertainment-group-nysetme-story-is-shifting-after-mixed-analyst-calls\/","title":{"rendered":"Why The Tencent Music Entertainment Group (NYSE:TME) Story Is Shifting After Mixed Analyst Calls"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><\/p>\n<div data-testid=\"article-body\">\n<div class=\"bodyItems-wrapper\">\n<p class=\"yf-vbsvxt\"><!-- HTML_TAG_START --><a rel=\"nofollow\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/simplywall.st\/features\/portfolio?utm_medium=finance_user&amp;utm_campaign=updates_head_cta&amp;utm_source=yahoo&amp;blueprint=4401694\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" data-ylk=\"slk:Never miss an important update on your stock portfolio;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas\" class=\"link \">Never miss an important update on your stock portfolio<\/a> and cut through the noise. Over 7 million investors trust Simply Wall St to stay informed where it matters for FREE.<!-- HTML_TAG_END --><\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-vbsvxt\"><!-- HTML_TAG_START -->Tencent Music Entertainment Group\u2019s latest update keeps its fair value estimate broadly steady, shifting only slightly from US$26.92 to US$26.84 as the model digests mixed analyst reactions to recent earnings. With the discount rate adjusted marginally lower from 9.72% to 9.63% and revenue growth assumptions held effectively unchanged at about 15.19%, the price target move reflects a fine tuning of risk and growth expectations rather than a wholesale rethink of the story. Stay tuned as we walk through how you can keep on top of these small but important narrative shifts around Tencent Music in the months ahead.<!-- HTML_TAG_END --><\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-vbsvxt\"><!-- HTML_TAG_START -->Stay updated as the Fair Value for <a rel=\"nofollow\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.simplywall.st\/\/company\/id\/3e083072-9928-41b3-9736-e1ce49779ffb\/valuation?utm_medium=finance_user&amp;utm_campaign=stay_updated_cta&amp;utm_source=yahoo\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" data-ylk=\"slk:Tencent Music Entertainment Group;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas\" class=\"link \">Tencent Music Entertainment Group<\/a> shifts by adding it to your <a rel=\"nofollow\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/simplywall.st\/features\/stock-watchlist?utm_medium=finance_user&amp;utm_campaign=stay_updated_cta&amp;utm_source=yahoo&amp;blueprint=4401694\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" data-ylk=\"slk:watchlist;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas\" class=\"link \">watchlist<\/a> or <a rel=\"nofollow\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/simplywall.st\/portfolio\/demo?utm_medium=finance_user&amp;utm_campaign=stay_updated_cta&amp;utm_source=yahoo&amp;blueprint=4401694\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" data-ylk=\"slk:portfolio;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas\" class=\"link \">portfolio<\/a>. Alternatively, explore our <a rel=\"nofollow\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/simplywall.st\/community\/narratives?utm_medium=finance_user&amp;utm_campaign=stay_updated_cta&amp;utm_source=yahoo&amp;blueprint=4401694\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" data-ylk=\"slk:Community;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas\" class=\"link \">Community<\/a> to discover new perspectives on Tencent Music Entertainment Group.<!-- HTML_TAG_END --><\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-vbsvxt\"><!-- HTML_TAG_START --><strong>\ud83d\udc02 Bullish Takeaways<\/strong><!-- HTML_TAG_END --><\/p>\n<ul class=\"yf-h8k6hx\">\n<li class=\"yf-h8k6hx\">\n<p class=\"yf-vbsvxt\"><!-- HTML_TAG_START -->Citi and Barclays both frame the recent post earnings share pullback, with Tencent Music trading around US$19 in their commentary, as an opportunity, pointing to what they see as a &#8220;solid&#8221; Q3 print and supportive commentary on Q4.<!-- HTML_TAG_END --><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"yf-h8k6hx\">\n<p class=\"yf-vbsvxt\"><!-- HTML_TAG_START -->Barclays increased its price target to US$28 from US$27 and keeps an Overweight stance, indicating confidence that Tencent Music&#8217;s growth story remains intact despite short term volatility.<!-- HTML_TAG_END --><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"yf-h8k6hx\">\n<p class=\"yf-vbsvxt\"><!-- HTML_TAG_START -->Citi keeps a Buy rating with a US$29 target and argues that worries around competition from Bytedance&#8217;s Soda Music are overdone, describing the selloff as unwarranted and seeing an &#8220;enhanced&#8221; entry point.<!-- HTML_TAG_END --><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"yf-h8k6hx\">\n<p class=\"yf-vbsvxt\"><!-- HTML_TAG_START -->Benchmark keeps a Buy rating with a trimmed target of US$25 from US$28, highlighting what it calls &#8220;solid&#8221; Q3 results and stating it remains positive on Tencent Music&#8217;s positioning and growth outlook, even as it factors in more pressure on gross margins.<!-- HTML_TAG_END --><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p class=\"yf-vbsvxt\"><!-- HTML_TAG_START --><strong>\ud83d\udc3b Bearish Takeaways<\/strong><!-- HTML_TAG_END --><\/p>\n<ul class=\"yf-h8k6hx\">\n<li class=\"yf-h8k6hx\">\n<p class=\"yf-vbsvxt\"><!-- HTML_TAG_START -->BofA cut its price target to US$21 from US$25 and maintains a Neutral rating, saying it views Tencent Music as fairly traded with no clear catalyst for a re rating in the near term, even after hosting the company at its AI Tech\/Internet Conference.<!-- HTML_TAG_END --><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"yf-h8k6hx\">\n<p class=\"yf-vbsvxt\"><!-- HTML_TAG_START -->Benchmark&#8217;s decision to lower its target while staying positive reflects a recurring concern around a revenue mix shift toward lower margin segments, which it thinks could intensify margin pressure in FY26 and fuel investor debate about the sustainability of past margin trends.<!-- HTML_TAG_END --><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"yf-h8k6hx\">\n<p class=\"yf-vbsvxt\"><!-- HTML_TAG_START -->BofA also points to the lack of an immediate upside trigger and keeps earnings expectations for FY25 to FY27 under review, which underscores a more cautious stance on how much of Tencent Music&#8217;s current execution and user paying model is already reflected in the valuation.<!-- HTML_TAG_END --><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul><\/div>\n<p>   <button class=\"secondary-btn fin-size-large readmore-button    rounded   yf-r7dg9i\" data-ylk=\"elm:readmore;itc:1;sec:content-canvas;slk:Story%20Continues\" aria-label=\"Story Continues\" title=\"Story Continues\"> <span>Story Continues<\/span> <\/button> <\/p>\n<div class=\"read-more-wrapper\" style=\"display: none\" data-testid=\"read-more\">\n<p class=\"yf-vbsvxt\"><!-- HTML_TAG_START -->Do your thoughts align with the Bull or Bear Analysts? Perhaps you think there&#8217;s more to the story. <a rel=\"nofollow\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/simplywall.st\/community\/narratives?utm_medium=finance_user&amp;utm_campaign=cta_community_contributor&amp;utm_source=yahoo&amp;blueprint=4401694\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" data-ylk=\"slk:Head to the Simply Wall St Community to discover more perspectives or begin writing your own Narrative!;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas\" class=\"link \">Head to the Simply Wall St Community to discover more perspectives or begin writing your own Narrative!<\/a><!-- HTML_TAG_END --><\/p>\n<figure data-testid=\"article-figure-image\" class=\"yf-1ems0tc\">\n<div class=\"image-container yf-lglytj loader\" style=\"--max-height: 664px;\">\n<div class=\"image-wrapper yf-lglytj\" style=\"--aspect-ratio: 960 \/ 664; --img-max-width: 960px;\"><a rel=\"nofollow\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.simplywall.st\/\/company\/id\/3e083072-9928-41b3-9736-e1ce49779ffb?utm_medium=finance_user&amp;utm_campaign=infographic&amp;utm_source=yahoo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><\/a><\/div>\n<\/div><figcaption class=\"yf-1ems0tc\"><!-- HTML_TAG_START -->NYSE:TME 1-Year Stock Price Chart<!-- HTML_TAG_END -->  <\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<ul class=\"yf-h8k6hx\">\n<li class=\"yf-h8k6hx\">\n<p class=\"yf-vbsvxt\"><!-- HTML_TAG_START -->Fair Value: model estimate is broadly unchanged, moving slightly from US$26.92 to US$26.84.<!-- HTML_TAG_END --><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"yf-h8k6hx\">\n<p class=\"yf-vbsvxt\"><!-- HTML_TAG_START -->Discount Rate: adjusted marginally lower from 9.72% to 9.63%, indicating a small tweak to the required return assumption.<!-- HTML_TAG_END --><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"yf-h8k6hx\">\n<p class=\"yf-vbsvxt\"><!-- HTML_TAG_START -->Revenue Growth: kept effectively steady at around 15.19%, with only a minimal numerical change from 15.19% to 15.19%.<!-- HTML_TAG_END --><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"yf-h8k6hx\">\n<p class=\"yf-vbsvxt\"><!-- HTML_TAG_START -->Net Profit Margin: held at roughly 29.30%, with a very small adjustment from 29.30% to 29.31% in the model.<!-- HTML_TAG_END --><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"yf-h8k6hx\">\n<p class=\"yf-vbsvxt\"><!-- HTML_TAG_START -->Future P\/E: nudged down slightly from 26.86x to 26.52x, implying a modestly lower valuation multiple used in the updated assumptions.<!-- HTML_TAG_END --><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p class=\"yf-vbsvxt\"><!-- HTML_TAG_START -->Narratives on Simply Wall St let you attach a clear story to the numbers by linking your view of a company\u2019s future revenue, earnings and margins to a fair value estimate. Each Narrative connects that story to the current share price so you can compare Fair Value to Price, see what that gap means for your decisions, and watch it adjust automatically as fresh news or earnings come in, all within the Community page used by millions of investors.<!-- HTML_TAG_END --><\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-vbsvxt\"><!-- HTML_TAG_START -->Head over to the Simply Wall St Community and follow the Tencent Music Entertainment Group Narrative to stay on top of the full story behind the model:<!-- HTML_TAG_END --><\/p>\n<ul class=\"yf-h8k6hx\">\n<li class=\"yf-h8k6hx\">\n<p class=\"yf-vbsvxt\"><!-- HTML_TAG_START -->How rising smartphone and internet usage in China and growing ARPPU feed into revenue and earnings expectations for Tencent Music.<!-- HTML_TAG_END --><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"yf-h8k6hx\">\n<p class=\"yf-vbsvxt\"><!-- HTML_TAG_START -->What broader use of live events, merchandise and fan interactions might mean for revenue mix, margins and earnings stability.<!-- HTML_TAG_END --><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"yf-h8k6hx\">\n<p class=\"yf-vbsvxt\"><!-- HTML_TAG_START -->How analysts tie their CN\u00a545.8b revenue, CN\u00a513.7b earnings and 29.8x P\/E assumptions to a US$28.34 price target in the latest Tencent Music Narrative.<!-- HTML_TAG_END --><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p class=\"yf-vbsvxt\"><!-- HTML_TAG_START --><a rel=\"nofollow\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/simplywall.st\/narratives\/bvn9nv53-rising-smartphone-usage-and-fan-economy-will-transform-entertainment-iijt?blueprint=4401694&amp;utm_source=yahoo&amp;utm_medium=finance_user&amp;utm_campaign=integrated-pitch\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" data-ylk=\"slk:Read the full Tencent Music Entertainment Group Narrative on Simply Wall St;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas\" class=\"link \">Read the full Tencent Music Entertainment Group Narrative on Simply Wall St<\/a> to see how the story, the forecast and the fair value all connect.<!-- HTML_TAG_END --><\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-vbsvxt\"><!-- HTML_TAG_START --><a rel=\"nofollow\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/simplywall.st\/features\/community-narratives?utm_medium=finance_user&amp;utm_campaign=cta_generic_community_narrative&amp;utm_source=yahoo&amp;blueprint=4401694\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" data-ylk=\"slk:Curious how numbers become stories that shape markets? Explore Community Narratives;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas\" class=\"link \">Curious how numbers become stories that shape markets? Explore Community Narratives<\/a><!-- HTML_TAG_END --><\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-vbsvxt\"><!-- HTML_TAG_START --><em> This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. <strong>We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice.<\/strong> It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.<\/em><!-- HTML_TAG_END --><\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-vbsvxt\"><!-- HTML_TAG_START --><em>Companies discussed in this article include <a rel=\"nofollow\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/finance.yahoo.com\/quote\/TME\" data-ylk=\"slk:TME;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas\" class=\"link \">TME<\/a>.<\/em><!-- HTML_TAG_END --><\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-vbsvxt\"><!-- HTML_TAG_START --><strong>Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? <a rel=\"nofollow\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/feedback.simplywall.st\/article\/NDQwMTY5NDo3YTFhOTA5OWI4ZTc5YjI3\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" data-ylk=\"slk:Get in touch;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas\" class=\"link \">Get in touch<\/a> with us directly.<\/strong><em> Alternatively, email <a rel=\"nofollow\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/finance.yahoo.com\/news\/mailto:editorial-team@simplywallst.com?subject=Re%3A%20Your%20article%20on%20NYSE%3ATME%20(yahoo)%20from%205th%20February%202026\" data-ylk=\"slk:editorial-team@simplywallst.com;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas\" class=\"link \">editorial-team@simplywallst.com<\/a><\/em><!-- HTML_TAG_END --><\/p>\n<\/p><\/div><\/div>\n<p><em> \u2018 The preceding article may include information circulated by third parties \u2019 <\/em><\/p>\n<p><em> \u2018 Some details of this article were extracted from the following source finance.yahoo.com \u2019 <\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Never miss an important update on your stock portfolio and cut through the noise. Over 7 million investors trust Simply Wall St to stay informed where it matters for FREE. Tencent Music Entertainment Group\u2019s latest update keeps its fair value estimate broadly steady, shifting only slightly from US$26.92 to US$26.84 as the model digests mixed [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":2244970,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"jnews-multi-image_gallery":[],"jnews_single_post":[],"jnews_primary_category":[],"jnews_social_meta":[],"footnotes":""},"categories":[25172],"tags":[346516,404902,308987,314019],"class_list":["post-2268544","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-entertainment","tag-fair-value","tag-price-target","tag-revenue-growth","tag-tencent-music-entertainment"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/celebrity.land\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/A-Look-At-The-Intrinsic-Value-Of-Goodwill-Entertainment-Holding.jpeg","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/celebrity.land\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2268544","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/celebrity.land\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/celebrity.land\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/celebrity.land\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/celebrity.land\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2268544"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/celebrity.land\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2268544\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":2268545,"href":"https:\/\/celebrity.land\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2268544\/revisions\/2268545"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/celebrity.land\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/2244970"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/celebrity.land\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2268544"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/celebrity.land\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2268544"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/celebrity.land\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2268544"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}