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Make better investment decisions<\/a> with Simply Wall St’s easy, visual tools that give you a competitive edge.<\/p>\n If you are looking at Accel Entertainment and wondering whether the current price reflects its true worth, you are in the right place to unpack what the market might be implying about the stock.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n The shares most recently closed at US$11.70, with returns of 3.0% over 7 days, 3.7% over 30 days, 2.9% year to date, 15.4% over 1 year, 32.2% over 3 years, and a 4.2% decline over 5 years. Taken together, these figures give you a mixed picture of how sentiment has shifted over different time frames.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n Recent news coverage has focused on Accel Entertainment’s position within the broader consumer services space and how its business model fits into long term gaming and amusement trends. This helps frame those return figures in context. Commentary has also highlighted how investors are weighing the company’s operating profile against other listed peers in the same industry.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n On Simply Wall St’s valuation checks, Accel Entertainment scores 2 out of 6<\/a>. Below, we walk through what different valuation methods say about that score and then finish with a more holistic way to think about what the stock might be worth.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n Accel Entertainment scores just 2\/6 on our valuation checks. See what other red flags we found in the full valuation breakdown<\/a>.<\/p>\n A Discounted Cash Flow, or DCF, model takes projected future cash flows and discounts them back to today using a required rate of return. The idea is to estimate what those future dollars are worth in present terms.<\/p>\n For Accel Entertainment, the model uses Free Cash Flow to Equity. The latest twelve month free cash flow is about $57.7 million, and analysts have supplied forecasts that are then extended by Simply Wall St out to ten years. Within those projections, forecast free cash flow for 2027 is $80.1 million, with further values through to 2035 calculated using the same 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity framework.<\/p>\n Pulling all of those discounted cash flows together, the DCF model arrives at an estimated intrinsic value of about $10.87 per share, compared with the recent share price of $11.70. That implies the shares are around 7.6% above this particular estimate of fair value, which is a relatively small gap rather than a glaring mismatch.<\/p>\n Result: ABOUT RIGHT<\/strong><\/p>\n Accel Entertainment is fairly valued according to our Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)<\/a>, but this can change at a moment’s notice. Track the value in your watchlist<\/a> or portfolio<\/a> and be alerted on when to act.<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n \n