Royal Caribbean Group<\/strong> (NYSE:RCL<\/a>), the popular cruise line, is carrying real momentum into 2026, but a viral r\/wallstreetbets post is crystallizing a risk bulls have been glossing over: oil is approaching $100 a barrel, and Royal Caribbean just committed to spending roughly $5 billion in capital expenditures this year alone. Shares are down 15% over the past month, trading around $267, even as the company guides for $18 in adjusted EPS for 2026.<\/p>\n
<\/p>\n The good news is that the bull case is real, as two-thirds of 2026 capacity is already booked at record rates, the company is coming off a full-year 2025 net income of $4.27 billion, up 31% year-over-year, and CEO Jason Liberty has described WAVE season as \u201cthe highest seven booking weeks in company history.\u201d The incoming Legend of the Seas, expected in Q2 2026, adds fresh capacity to an already-full fleet. The bear case, increasingly loud online, is fuel.<\/p>\n
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<\/p>\n WTI crude hit a 12-month high of $97.31 on March 13, before pulling back to $92.46 as of March 16. That is a 46% surge in a single month, putting oil within striking distance of the widely watched $ 100-a-barrel threshold, a level that has historically squeezed cruise operators hard.\u00a0<\/p>\n
<\/p>\n A post titled \u201cThe Cruise Industry is going to get BURIED by the conflict in the Middle East 10k Puts\u201d<\/a> accumulated over 800 upvotes with a 96% upvote ratio in under 24 hours, driving RCL\u2019s Reddit sentiment score to 8 out of 100, very bearish.<\/p>\n
<\/p>\n The Cruise Industry is going to get BURIED by the conflict in the Middle East 10k Puts<\/a>
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<\/p>\n By and large, \u201cIn 2022, total fuel expenses for cruises doubled, and we\u2019re about to see significantly more disruption in oil than we had in 2022.\u201d The composite sentiment score sits at 36.5 out of 100, medium-confidence bearish, though news sentiment remains relatively constructive at 65 out of 100. The core retail concerns:<\/p>\n
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<\/p>\n The analyst consensus price target stands at $348.52, implying 29% upside from current levels, with 23 analysts rating the stock a Moderate Buy, 18 Buy, 4 Hold, and 1 Strong Buy. Valuation metrics support the bullish backdrop: the forward P\/E sits at 14.92x for 2026, reasonable for a company guiding 16.9% earnings growth, while consensus revenue forecasts of $19.95 billion represent 11.2% year-over-year expansion. The real question heading into Q2 is whether fuel costs and debt service consume enough cash flow to put pressure on the $1.50 quarterly dividend and the $2.0 billion buyback authorization that shareholders currently enjoy.<\/p>\n
\n<\/p><\/div>\n \u2018 The preceding article may include information circulated by third parties \u2019 <\/em><\/p>\n \u2018 Some details of this article were extracted from the following source 247wallst.com \u2019 <\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" \u00a9 Denis Belitsky \/ Shutterstock.com
Royal Caribbean Group (NYSE:RCL), the popular cruise line, is carrying real momentum into 2026, but a viral r\/wallstreetbets post is crystallizing a risk bulls have been glossing over: oil is approaching $100 a barrel, and Royal Caribbean just committed to spending roughly $5 billion in capital expenditures this year […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":2341119,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"jnews-multi-image_gallery":[],"jnews_single_post":[],"jnews_primary_category":[],"jnews_social_meta":[],"footnotes":""},"categories":[43],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2341118","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-royalty"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/celebrity.land\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/Record-Bookings-Cannot-Hide-Royal-Caribbeans-Growing-Fuel-Problem.jpg","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/celebrity.land\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2341118","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/celebrity.land\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/celebrity.land\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/celebrity.land\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/celebrity.land\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2341118"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/celebrity.land\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2341118\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":2341120,"href":"https:\/\/celebrity.land\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2341118\/revisions\/2341120"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/celebrity.land\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/2341119"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/celebrity.land\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2341118"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/celebrity.land\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2341118"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/celebrity.land\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2341118"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}WTI at $93 and Climbing<\/h2>\n
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<\/p>\nr\/WallStreetBets Smells Blood in the Water<\/h2>\n
by u\/Electrical_Trash_992<\/a> in wallstreetbets<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n
<\/p>\n
Wall Street Hasn\u2019t Turned Yet<\/h2>\n