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Want to get more Covers content? Add us as a preferred source on your Google account here<\/a>.<\/em><\/p>\n The Kansas City Royals<\/a> are short favorites against the Houston Astros<\/a> on Saturday night, and I\u2019m laying the small moneyline price.<\/span><\/p>\n Advertisement<\/p>\n Noah Cameron<\/a> gives Kansas City<\/a> the cleaner starting-pitching profile, while Mike Burrows<\/a>\u2019 low-strikeout, contact-heavy profile gives the Royals enough scoring upside.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n Here are my Astros vs. Royals<\/a> predictions<\/strong> and MLB picks<\/a> for June 13.<\/p>\n This is a matchup of two pitchers that are trending in different directions. I’m backing the Kansas City Royals<\/a>, who have the better pitcher by a sizable gap in this matchup. I’d play them to -135.<\/p>\n Houston Astros<\/a> SP\u00a0Mike Burrows<\/a> has a 4.72 xERA and a .338 xwOBA<\/strong>, which creates too many balls in play against a lineup with real top-end damage from Bobby Witt Jr.<\/a> and Jac Caglianone<\/a>.<\/span><\/p>\n Advertisement<\/p>\n Royals SP Noah Cameron<\/a> is not dominant, but his 3.98 xERA and 6.2% walk rate<\/strong><\/span> are cleaner than Burrows\u2019 profile.<\/span><\/p>\n Covers<\/p>\n<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n COVERS INTEL:<\/strong><\/p>\n Burrows is bottom-fourth percentile in fastball run value<\/a>, and Kansas City\u2019s two best bats both own 52%+ hard-hit rates.<\/span><\/p>\n I have slightly more conviction on the Over than a side and would play to 10 at even money.<\/p>\n Although I expect Kansas City to eventually get the win, it won’t come without trouble. Cameron has allowed a 41.0% hard-hit rate and 9.3% barrel rate<\/strong>, which is dangerous against an Astros lineup with plenty of power, particularly considering the current form of Yordan Alvarez<\/a>.<\/p>\n Advertisement<\/p>\n Burrows is the bigger trigger for a variety of reasons, the most pressing being his bottom 20th percentile of most hard-hit<\/strong> metrics paired with looming negative regression.<\/span><\/p>\n Chris Hatfield’s 2026 Transparency Record<\/strong><\/p>\n ML\/RL bets<\/strong>: 29-23, +5.71 units<\/em><\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/li>\n Over\/Under bets<\/strong>: 32-20, +14.87 units<\/em><\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n Moneyline<\/strong>: Astros +105 | Royals -125<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/li>\n Run line<\/strong>: Astros +1.5 | Royals -1.5<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/li>\n Over\/Under<\/strong>: Over 9.5 | Under 9.5<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n The Royals have covered the F5 Run Line in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.85 Units \/ 22% ROI)<\/p>\nWho will win Astros vs Royals today: Royals moneyline (-125)<\/h2>\n
Astros vs Royals Over\/Under pick: Over 9.5 (+100)<\/h2>\n
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Astros vs Royals odds<\/h2>\n
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Astros vs Royals trend<\/h2>\n
How to watch Astros vs Royals and game info<\/h2>\n