Since the Academy expanded the best picture field in 2009, TIFF Audience Award winners have become reliable Oscar barometers. Films such as “Green Book” (2018) and “Nomadland” (2020) went on to claim the top prize, while others like “The Fabelmans” (2022) still factored heavily into awards season. Only one winner, “Where Do We Go Now?” (2011), failed to secure a best picture nom. Every other winner has claimed at least one Oscar. Last year’s winner, “The Life of Chuck,” which Neon delayed to 2025, faces an uphill battle this year to maintain that streak given its June release date, but it could show up in adapted screenplay (if we’re lucky).
Chloé Zhao’s “Hamnet” stormed into Toronto after a rapturous Telluride debut as the most traditional choice.
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