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Royals vs. Mariners Prediction, Odds, Picks – September 17

Story Center by Story Center
September 17, 2025
Reading Time: 9 mins read
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Data Skrive

The Seattle Mariners and Cal Raleigh take the field at Kauffman Stadium against Maikel Garcia and the Kansas City Royals on Wednesday. Oddsmakers list the Royals as -111 moneyline favorites, while giving the underdog Mariners -108 moneyline odds. Seattle is a 1.5-run favorite (at +157 odds). An 8.5-run over/under has been set for this contest.

Take a look at everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Royals-Mariners game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Keep up with MLB on FOX Sports.

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Royals vs. Phillies Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Kansas City Royals and the Philadelphia Phillies.

Royals vs. Mariners Game Information & Odds

  • When: Wednesday, September 17, 2025 at 7:40 p.m. ET
  • Where: Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri
  • How to watch on TV: FDSKC and ROOT Sports NW
FavoriteFavorite MoneylineUnderdog MoneylineTotalOver Total OddsUnder Total OddsRun LineFavorite Run Line OddsUnderdog Run Line Odds
Royals-111-1088.5-114-106-1.5-189+157

Royals vs. Mariners Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Royals 5, Mariners 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Royals 51%, Mariners 49%

Royals vs. Mariners Betting Insights

  • This season, the Royals have won 36 out of the 63 games, or 57.1%, in which they’ve been favored.
  • Kansas City has a record of 36-27, a 57.1% win rate, when favored by -111 or more by bookmakers this season.
  • Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Royals have a 52.6% chance to win.
  • The Mariners have been underdogs in 44 games this season and have come away with the win 21 times (47.7%) in those contests.
  • This season, Seattle has been victorious 19 times in 40 chances when named as an underdog of at least -108 or longer on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Mariners have a 51.9% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Royals Recent Betting Performance

  • Over the last 10 games, the Royals have been listed as the moneyline favorite by oddsmakers just two times, and they split those games.
  • In their last 10 matchups (all 10 of them had set totals), the Royals and their opponents combined to hit the over five times.
  • The Royals have a 3-7-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Royals Recent Stats

StatAvg/Total
Record4-6
Runs Per Game4
HR8
ERA4.76
K/98.2

Royals Player Insights

  • Bobby Witt Jr.’s .292 average leads the Royals this year. His resume also includes 22 homers and driven in 79 RBI.
  • Witt’s home runs place him 57th in MLB, and he is 43rd in RBI.
  • Garcia has 36 doubles, five triples, 16 home runs and 56 walks while hitting .291.
  • Garcia ranks 113th in home runs and 71st in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
  • Garcia has three games in a row with at least one hit. In his last five games he is batting .316 with a double, two walks and three RBIs.
  • Vinnie Pasquantino leads the Royals with 30 home runs and 104 runs batted in.
  • Pasquantino will look to build on his six-game hitting in this matchup. During his last 10 games he is batting .359 with five doubles, a home run, two walks and eight RBIs.
  • Salvador Perez is batting .237 with 34 doubles, 28 home runs and 23 walks.
  • Perez has recorded at least one hit in two straight games. During his last five outings he is hitting .286 with a double, three home runs and eight RBIs.

Mariners Recent Betting Performance

  • Over the past 10 games, the Mariners have been underdogs twice and split those games 1-1.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Mariners and their opponents have failed to hit the over four times.
  • The Mariners have seven wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Mariners Recent Stats

StatAvg/Total
Record9-1
Runs Per Game6.7
HR16
ERA2.16
K/911.4

Mariners Player Insights

  • Raleigh paces the Mariners with 54 long balls and runs batted in, driving in 115.
  • In all of MLB, Raleigh ranks first in home runs and third in RBI.
  • Raleigh has collected a hit in three straight games. In his last five games he is hitting .375 with two doubles, a home run, eight walks and two RBIs.
  • Julio Rodriguez is hitting .269 with 30 doubles, four triples, 30 home runs and 37 walks.
  • Rodriguez is 15th overall in homers and 18th in RBI this year.
  • Josh Naylor leads the Mariners with a team-high batting average of .284.
  • Eugenio Suarez is hitting .226 with 25 doubles, 45 home runs and 44 walks.

Angels vs. Mariners Highlights | MLB on FOX

Angels vs. Mariners Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Los Angeles Angels and the Seattle Mariners!

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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