Data Skrive
Jose Ramirez and the Cleveland Guardians will hit the field against the Kansas City Royals and Mike Yastrzemski at Progressive Field on Monday at 6:40 p.m. ET. The Royals are listed as +101 moneyline underdogs in this matchup against the favored Guardians (-121). Cleveland is the favorite on the run line (-1.5 with +165 odds). The matchup’s total has been set at 8 runs.
Check out everything you need from a betting perspective on the Guardians-Royals game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.
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Guardians vs. Royals Game Information & Odds
- When: Monday, September 8, 2025 at 6:40 p.m. ET
- Where: Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio
- How to watch on TV: CLEG and FDSKC
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds | Run Line | Favorite Run Line Odds | Underdog Run Line Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guardians | -121 | +101 | 8 | -118 | -102 | -1.5 | +165 | -200 |
Guardians vs. Royals Prediction
- Score Prediction: Guardians 5, Royals 4
- Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
- Win Probabilities: Guardians 52%, Royals 48%
Guardians vs. Royals Betting Insights
- This season, the Guardians have won 34 out of the 57 games, or 59.6%, in which they’ve been favored.
- Cleveland has a record of 27-15, a 64.3% win rate, when favored by -121 or more by bookmakers this season.
- The implied probability of a win from the Guardians, based on the moneyline, is 54.8%.
- The Royals have been victorious in 37, or 46.8%, of the 79 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
- This season, Kansas City has come away with a win 26 times in 66 chances when named as an underdog of at least +101 or longer on the moneyline.
- Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Royals have a 49.8% chance of pulling out a win.
Guardians Recent Betting Performance
- The Guardians have not been the moneyline favorite over the last 10 games.
- Over their last 10 matchups (all had set totals), the Guardians combined with their opponents to go over the total four times.
- The Guardians’ ATS record is 6-4-0 over their past 10 games.
Guardians Recent Stats
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.4 |
| HR | 13 |
| ERA | 3.72 |
| K/9 | 8.1 |
Guardians Player Insights
- Ramirez leads the Guardians with 27 home runs and 74 runs batted in, while putting up a team-best batting average of .283.
- In all of the majors, Ramirez is 25th in homers and 47th in RBI.
- Ramirez carries a four-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .368 with two doubles, a triple, a home run, a walk and six RBIs.
- Steven Kwan is hitting .275 with 25 doubles, a triple, 10 home runs and 48 walks.
- Kwan is 184th in homers and 165th in RBI in the bigs.
- Kwan carries a three-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. During his last five outings he is batting .381 with a double, three walks and four RBIs.
- Kyle Manzardo has 14 doubles, two triples, 25 home runs and 44 walks while batting .234.
- Angel Martinez is batting .228 with 21 doubles, a triple, 10 home runs and 17 walks.
Royals Recent Betting Performance
- The Royals have played as underdogs in three of their past 10 games and won two of those contests.
- The Royals and their opponents have combined to hit the over two times in their last 10 games with a total.
- The Royals have a record of 3-7-0 ATS over their last 10 games.
Royals Recent Stats
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.0 |
| HR | 12 |
| ERA | 3.10 |
| K/9 | 8.2 |
Royals Player Insights
- Bobby Witt Jr. leads the team in batting average with a high-water mark of .294.
- Witt’s home run total places him 59th in MLB, and he is 38th in RBI.
- Maikel Garcia has a club-high .294 batting average.
- Garcia ranks 105th among all hitters in the big leagues in home runs, and 70th in RBI.
- Vinnie Pasquantino has been solid source of run production for the Royals with 29 long balls and 99 runs batted in.
- Salvador Perez is batting .238 with 33 doubles, 25 home runs and 23 walks.
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FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.
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