Phillies vs. Royals Prediction, Odds, Picks – September 13

Data Skrive

Bobby Witt Jr. will lead the Kansas City Royals into a matchup with Brandon Marsh and the Philadelphia Phillies on Saturday at 6:05 p.m. ET, in the first game of a three-game series at Citizens Bank Park. The Royals are listed as +123 moneyline underdogs in this matchup with the favorite Phillies (-147). Philadelphia is the favorite on the run line (-1.5). The total is 9 runs for the contest.

Check out everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Phillies-Royals game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Phillies vs. Royals Game Information & Odds

• When: Saturday, September 13, 2025 at 6:05 p.m. ET
• Where: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
• How to watch on TV: NBCS-PH and FDSKC

Phillies vs. Royals Prediction

• Score Prediction: Phillies 5, Royals 4
• Total Prediction: Over 9 runs
• Win Probabilities: Phillies 56%, Royals 44%

Phillies vs. Royals Betting Insights

• The Phillies have been favorites in 119 games this season and won 74 (62.2%) of those contests.
• Philadelphia has entered 75 games this season favored by -147 or more and is 51-24 in those contests.
• The Phillies have a 59.5% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• The Royals have been victorious in 38, or 45.8%, of the 83 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• Kansas City has a win-loss record of 15-15 when favored by +123 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Royals have a 44.8% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

• The Phillies went 5-2 over the seven games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
• In their last 10 outings, the Phillies and their opponents combined to go over the run total five times (all 10 games had set totals).
• The Phillies’ ATS record is 8-2-0 over their past 10 games.

Phillies Recent Stats

Phillies Player Insights

• The Phillies’ best power option comes in the form of Kyle Schwarber and his 50-homer 123-RBI season, both team highs.
• Of all hitters in the majors, Schwarber’s home run total ranks him second, and his RBI tally puts him first.
• Schwarber brings a hitting streak of three games into this game. In his last five games he is hitting .235 with a home run, six walks and four RBIs.
• Bryce Harper is batting .265 with 31 doubles, 25 home runs and 58 walks.
• Harper is 38th in home runs and 67th in RBI in the bigs.
• Harper has three games in a row with at least one hit. During his last five outings he is batting .286 with two doubles, a home run and three RBIs.
• Bryson Stott is batting .254 with 20 doubles, three triples, 10 home runs and 49 walks.
• Stott will look to build on his three-game hitting in this game. During his last five outings he is batting .353 with a double, two walks and two RBIs.
• Nick Castellanos is hitting .255 with 27 doubles, two triples, 16 home runs and 30 walks.
• Castellanos brings a five-game streak with at least one hit into this one. During his last five outings he is hitting .389 with two doubles, a triple, a walk and four RBIs.

Royals Recent Betting Performance

• The Royals have played as underdogs in five of their past 10 games and have gone 2-3 in those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Royals and their opponents are 2-8-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
• The Royals have a record of 2-8-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Royals Recent Stats

Royals Player Insights

• Witt leads the team in batting average with a mark of .293.
• In all of MLB, Witt ranks 60th in home runs and 42nd in RBI.
• Maikel Garcia has 36 doubles, five triples, 16 home runs and 55 walks while batting .290.
• Garcia ranks 110th overall in homers and 74th in RBI this season.
• Vinnie Pasquantino has been solid source of run production for the Royals with 30 long balls and 102 runs batted in.
• Salvador Perez is batting .235 with 34 doubles, 25 home runs and 23 walks.

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FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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