Phillies vs. Royals Prediction, Odds, Picks – September 14

Data Skrive

Kyle Schwarber and Maikel Garcia will be among the stars on display when the Philadelphia Phillies face the Kansas City Royals on Sunday at 1:35 p.m. ET, at Citizens Bank Park. Oddsmakers list the Phillies as -162 favorites on the moneyline, while giving the underdog Royals +135 moneyline odds. Philadelphia is the favorite on the run line (-1.5 with +137 odds). The over/under for the contest has been set at 9 runs.

Take a look at everything you need from a betting perspective on the Phillies-Royals game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Phillies vs. Royals Game Information & Odds

• When: Sunday, September 14, 2025 at 1:35 p.m. ET
• Where: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
• How to watch on TV: NBCS-PH and FDSKC

Phillies vs. Royals Prediction

• Score Prediction: Phillies 5, Royals 4
• Total Prediction: Over 9 runs
• Win Probabilities: Phillies 56%, Royals 44%

Phillies vs. Royals Betting Insights

• This season, the Phillies have been favored 120 times and won 75, or 62.5%, of those games.
• Philadelphia has a record of 44-17, a 72.1% win rate, when favored by -162 or more by oddsmakers this season.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Phillies have a 61.8% chance to win.
• The Royals have been underdogs in 84 games this season and have come away with the win 38 times (45.2%) in those contests.
• Kansas City has a mark of 7-9 in contests where bookmakers favor it by +135 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Royals have a 42.6% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

• The Phillies went 6-2 across the eight games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
• In their last 10 matchups (all 10 of them had set totals), the Phillies and their opponents combined to hit the over five times.
• The Phillies’ record against the spread is 8-2-0 over their past 10 games.

Phillies Recent Stats

Phillies Player Insights

• Schwarber leads the Phillies with 50 home runs and 124 runs batted in.
• Of all hitters in baseball, Schwarber is second in homers and first in RBI.
• Schwarber has collected a hit in four games in a row. During his last five outings he is hitting .235 with a double, a home run, six walks and four RBIs.
• Bryce Harper is hitting .267 with 31 doubles, 26 home runs and 59 walks.
• Harper ranks 35th in homers and 61st in RBI among all batters in MLB.
• Harper has four straight games with at least one hit. In his last five games he is hitting .350 with a double, two home runs, a walk and five RBIs.
• Bryson Stott has 20 doubles, three triples, 11 home runs and 49 walks while batting .257.
• Stott will look to build on his four-game hitting in this game. In his last five games he is batting .389 with a home run, two walks and three RBIs.
• Nick Castellanos has 27 doubles, two triples, 16 home runs and 30 walks while hitting .255.
• Castellanos has recorded at least one hit in five straight games. In his last five games he is hitting .389 with two doubles, a triple, a walk and four RBIs.

Royals Recent Betting Performance

• In six games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Royals have a record of 2-4.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Royals and their opponents are 3-7-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
• The Royals have a record of 2-8-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Royals Recent Stats

Royals Player Insights

• Bobby Witt Jr. leads the team in batting average with a mark of .293.
• Among all hitters in the majors, Witt’s home run total is 60th and his RBI tally ranks 40th.
• Garcia has 36 doubles, five triples, 16 home runs and 55 walks while hitting .292.
• Garcia ranks 111th in homers and 72nd in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
• Vinnie Pasquantino leads the Royals in home runs (30) and runs batted in (102).
• Salvador Perez has 34 doubles, 25 home runs and 23 walks while hitting .233.

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FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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