Royals vs Mets Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today

• The Mets are -150 favorites vs the Royals
• Royals vs Mets Over / Under today: 9 Runs
• Royals / Mets TV Channel: RYTV | SNY

The Kansas City Royals (+125) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (-150) on July 8, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 pm in Flushing, NY.

This season, the Royals are 38-54 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 37-53 ATS.

Royals vs Mets Starting Pitchers Today:

• Royals starting pitcher: Steven Cruz 2-2, 5.09 ERA
• Mets starting pitcher: Christian Scott 2-1, 3.49 ERA

Royals vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 54.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:

• Carter Jensen has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 25 games (+19.15 Units / 39% ROI)
• Nick Loftin has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 6 away games (+13.59 Units / 227% ROI)
• Carter Jensen has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+12.60 Units / 43% ROI)
• Salvador Perez has hit the RBIs Under in 20 of his last 25 away games (+10.50 Units / 20% ROI)
• Carter Jensen has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+9.75 Units / 48% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• A.J. Ewing has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games at home (+19.40 Units / 242% ROI)
• Carson Benge has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+11.25 Units / 28% ROI)
• Christian Scott has hit the Strikeouts Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.25 Units / 68% ROI)
• Carson Benge has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+8.00 Units / 28% ROI)
• Brett Baty has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 7 games (+7.05 Units / 80% ROI)

Royals Best Bets Today:

• The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 30 of their last 50 away games (+7.80 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 16 of their last 23 games (+7.75 Units / 29% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 30 away games (+7.00 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 18 away games (+4.70 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 18 away games (+4.30 Units / 23% ROI)

Mets Best Bets Today:

• The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 30 games at home (+9.20 Units / 28% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.80 Units / 42% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 18 games at home (+5.15 Units / 24% ROI)
• The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 18 games at home (+3.00 Units / 14% ROI)

Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Royals are 40-49 against the Run Line (-21.65 Units / -16.86% ROI).

• 38-54 when betting on the Moneyline for -18.05 Units / -17.44% ROI
• 45-46 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.35 Units / -5.28% ROI
• 46-45 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.2 Units / -3.16% ROI

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mets are 37-53 against the Run Line (-15.3 Units / -13.98% ROI).

• 38-54 when betting on the Moneyline for -30.4 Units / -25.95% ROI
• 43-41 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.65 Units / -2.61% ROI
• 41-43 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.75 Units / -6.69% ROI

Mets vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Mets vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Mets vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

The Royals are just 30-6 (.833) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .946.

The Royals are just 5-33 (.132) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .250.

The Royals are just 35-44 (.443) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .535.

The Royals are just 38-54 (.413) this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Royals

The Mets are just 33-46 (.418) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .535.

The Mets are just 19-34 (.358) after a loss this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .485.

The Mets are just 11-49 (.183) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .274.

The Mets are 18-7 (.720) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .630.

Royals Hitting Stats & Trends

Royals hitters are slugging just .229 with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB.

Royals hitters have put 40% of their swings in play against LHP this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB.

The Royals have a winning percentage of just 41% this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB.

Royals hitters are slugging just .181 on pitches out of the zone this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Mets Hitting Stats & Trends

Mets hitters have an OPS of just .623 (1,071 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters have an OPS of just .611 (845 PA’s) on pitches 95 mph or greater this season — lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters are slugging just .381 this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters are slugging just .327 on pitches 95 mph or greater this season — lowest in MLB.

Royals Pitching Stats & Trends

Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% in late innings this season — lowest in MLB.

Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

Royals pitchers have walked 10% of batters this season — 5th highest in MLB.

Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Mets Pitching Stats & Trends

The Mets pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 68% of their games at home this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Mets pitchers have an ERA of 4.57 (404.0 IP) at home this season — 5th highest in MLB.

The Mets have won just 10% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Mets pitchers have won only 21% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

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