Royals vs Reds Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today

• The Reds are -220 favorites vs the Royals
• Royals vs Reds Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
• Royals / Reds TV Channel: WXIX | RYTV | RDTV

The Kansas City Royals (+180) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (-220) on June 1, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 pm in Cincinnati, OH.

This season, the Royals are 22-37 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 34-23 ATS.

Royals vs Reds Starting Pitchers Today:

• Royals starting pitcher: Luinder Avila 0-2, 5.32 ERA
• Reds starting pitcher: Chase Burns 7-1, 1.96 ERA

Royals vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Reds will win Monday‘s MLB game with 62.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:

• Jac Caglianone has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+12.30 Units / 41% ROI)
• Carter Jensen has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+11.25 Units / 33% ROI)
• Salvador Perez has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 25 games (+10.25 Units / 39% ROI)
• Isaac Collins has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 20 away games (+9.15 Units / 33% ROI)
• Jac Caglianone has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 15 away games (+7.25 Units / 48% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Nate Lowe has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 8 games at home (+16.30 Units / 204% ROI)
• Spencer Steer has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+15.25 Units / 48% ROI)
• Spencer Steer has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games (+13.85 Units / 31% ROI)
• Spencer Steer has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+13.40 Units / 52% ROI)
• Sal Stewart has hit the RBIs Under in 14 of his last 15 games at home (+12.05 Units / 48% ROI)

Royals Best Bets Today:

• The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 34 of their last 50 games (+16.45 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 16 games (+9.95 Units / 53% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 9 away games (+4.90 Units / 50% ROI)

Reds Best Bets Today:

• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 50 games (+14.05 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 14 of their last 19 games (+8.70 Units / 38% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 19 games (+4.90 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 26 of their last 45 games (+4.00 Units / 6% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 23 of their last 40 games at home (+3.75 Units / 8% ROI)

Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Royals are 23-33 against the Run Line (-16.15 Units / -20.3% ROI).

• 22-37 when betting on the Moneyline for -19.7 Units / -28.51% ROI
• 27-32 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.9 Units / -12.2% ROI
• 32-27 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.45 Units / 3.77% ROI

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Reds are 34-23 against the Run Line (+4.5 Units / 5.29% ROI).

• 30-28 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.6 Units / 2.44% ROI
• 36-21 when betting on the total runs Over for +12.65 Units / 19.69% ROI
• 21-36 when betting on the total runs Under for -18.4 Units / -29.05% ROI

Reds vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Reds vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Reds vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Reds

The Royals are just 17-5 (.773) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .944.

The Royals are just 17-5 (.773) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .893.

The Royals are just 20-29 (.408) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .532.

The Royals are just 10-25 (.286) after a loss this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .468.

Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Royals

The Reds are 3-25 (.107) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .056.

The Reds are 24-5 (.828) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .720.

The Reds are just 12-73 (.141) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2025 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .204.

The Reds are just 12-52 (.188) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2025 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .254.

Royals Hitting Stats & Trends

The Royals are batting just .218 on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Royals hitters have an OBP of just .292 (1,011 PA’s) on the road this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Royals hitters have an OBP of just .227 (1,127 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

The Royals are just 17-5 (.773) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .944.

Reds Hitting Stats & Trends

The Reds are batting just .201 with two outs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Reds are batting just .123 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB.

The Reds are batting just .201 against division opponents this season — lowest in MLB.

Reds hitters have struck out in 25% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 4th highest in MLB.

Royals Pitching Stats & Trends

Royals pitchers have walked 10% of batters this season — 4th highest in MLB.

Royals pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 46 double plays in 415 opportunities (11%) this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Royals pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of just 60% this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% in late innings this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Reds Pitching Stats & Trends

Reds pitchers have walked 12% of batters this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Reds pitchers have a strike rate of just 61% this season — lowest in MLB.

Reds pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of just 58% this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Reds pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

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