- The Tigers are -125 favorites vs the Royals
- Royals vs Tigers Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Royals / Tigers TV Channel: FDDT | FDKC
The Kansas City Royals (+105) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (-125) on Saturday, August 23, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 6:10pm EDT in Detroit, MI.
This season, the Royals are 66-63 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 64-66 ATS.
Royals vs Tigers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Royals starting pitcher: Michael Wacha 8-9, 3.35 ERA
- Tigers starting pitcher: Chris Paddack 4-11, 5.11 ERA
Royals vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Royals | +1.5 -220 | O 8.5 -102 | +105 |
| Tigers | -1.5 +165 | U 8.5 -118 | -125 |
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 53.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 10 games (+36.90 Units / 369% ROI)
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the RBIs Over in 15 of his last 25 games (+11.90 Units / 48% ROI)
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Runs Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+9.10 Units / 29% ROI)
- Maikel Garcia has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+8.45 Units / 24% ROI)
- Maikel Garcia has hit the Hits Over in 6 of his last 7 away games (+7.30 Units / 69% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Riley Greene has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 games at home (+9.80 Units / 196% ROI)
- Chris Paddack has hit the Walks Allowed Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+8.95 Units / 32% ROI)
- Gleyber Torres has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 25 games (+8.65 Units / 30% ROI)
- Riley Greene has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+8.50 Units / 25% ROI)
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 20 games (+8.40 Units / 41% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 79 of their last 129 games (+24.85 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 35 of their last 51 away games (+15.50 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 27 of their last 50 away games (+13.65 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 69 of their last 121 games (+12.70 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 33 of their last 51 away games (+12.15 Units / 20% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 43 of their last 67 games at home (+17.88 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 35 games at home (+14.15 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 77 of their last 127 games (+11.60 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Over in 74 of their last 130 games (+10.10 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 37 of their last 67 games at home (+7.65 Units / 9% ROI)
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are 67-61 against the Run Line (-5.2 Units / -2.94% ROI).
- 66-63 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.1 Units / 1.35% ROI
- 56-72 when betting on the total runs Over for -22.47 Units / -15.94% ROI
- 72-56 when betting on the total runs Under for +10.2 Units / 7.14% ROI
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 64-66 against the Run Line (-6.25 Units / -3.87% ROI).
- 77-53 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.6 Units / 4.45% ROI
- 67-56 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.1 Units / 4.28% ROI
- 56-67 when betting on the total runs Under for -17.55 Units / -12.2% ROI
Tigers vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today
Tigers vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Tigers vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today
Tigers vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Michael Wacha threw his breaking pitches for a strike just 47% (212/452) of the time in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 62% — 0 Percentile.
Michael Wacha has walked 5% of batters when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 10th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 84th Percentile.
Michael Wacha has allowed a slugging percentage of just .259 (66 Total Bases / 255 ABs) on non-fastballs this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .357 — 94th Percentile.
Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 24% (38/157) against Michael Wacha with two-strikes this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 37% — 100th Percentile.
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Chris Paddack has allowed a slugging percentage of .731 (152 Total Bases / 208 ABs) on pitches in the heart of the plate this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .534 — first Percentile.
Chris Paddack has a strikeout rate of just 20% (34 SO in 171 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 35% — second Percentile.
Chris Paddack has a strikeout rate of just 17% (96 SO in 558 PAs) this season — tied for 6th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 11th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .188 (9-for-48) against Chris Paddack on pitches in the chase zone this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .090 — second Percentile.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Royals were just 4-50 (.074) when they allowed 5 or more runs in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .196.
The Royals are 58-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .957.
The Royals are just 15-27 (.357) vs top 10 scoring offenses this season They play the Tigers (Ranks eighth runs scored) today.
The Royals are 25-5 (.833) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .704.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Tigers are 68-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .957.
The Tigers are 62-3 (.954) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .873.
The Tigers were 18-54 (.250) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .143.
The Tigers are 83-8 (.912) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .747.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters have an OPS of just .907 (908 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 1.071.
Royals hitters have struck out in just 19% of their PA’s this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Royals hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA’s against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Royals are batting just .297 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .338.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters are slugging .443 against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .389.
The Tigers have a winning percentage of 54% on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 45%.
Tigers hitters have chased 27% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Tigers hitters have drawn walks in 9% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
The longest HR allowed by the Royals pitchers in the 2024 season traveled 519.4 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 470.4
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 35% with two-strikes this month (20 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 41%.
Royals pitchers have walked 7% of batters over the last 14 days — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Royals pitchers have walked 3% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the past seven days (7 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 26% against Tigers pitchers this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .227 against Tigers pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes over the last 14 days — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 41%.
More MLB Reading:
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