- The Royals are -165 favorites vs the White Sox
- White Sox vs Royals Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
- White Sox / Royals TV Channel: FDKC | CHSN
The Chicago White Sox (+140) visit Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (-165) on Saturday, August 16, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Kansas City, MO.
This season, the White Sox are against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are ATS.
White Sox vs Royals Starting Pitchers Today:
- White Sox starting pitcher: Sean Burke 4-9, 4.32 ERA
- Royals starting pitcher: Michael Lorenzen 5-8, 4.61 ERA
White Sox vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| White Sox | +1.5 -145 | O 9.5 -115 | +140 |
| Royals | -1.5 +120 | U 9.5 -105 | -165 |
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Royals will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 60.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- Colson Montgomery has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 9 away games (+29.20 Units / 324% ROI)
- Sean Burke has hit the Strikeouts Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+10.30 Units / 44% ROI)
- Curtis Mead has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+9.30 Units / 36% ROI)
- Luis Robert has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 12 of his last 15 away games (+9.25 Units / 53% ROI)
- Luis Robert has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 15 away games (+9.05 Units / 60% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 games (+17.30 Units / 173% ROI)
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+9.05 Units / 22% ROI)
- Mike Yastrzemski has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 20 games (+8.90 Units / 44% ROI)
- Maikel Garcia has hit the Walks Over in 6 of his last 8 games at home (+8.85 Units / 111% ROI)
- Mike Yastrzemski has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+8.40 Units / 22% ROI)
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 59 of their last 98 games (+15.10 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 59 of their last 97 games (+13.45 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 38 of their last 97 games (+12.45 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 12 of their last 14 away games (+10.10 Units / 59% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 25 games (+10.10 Units / 34% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 76 of their last 121 games (+27.25 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 69 of their last 120 games (+12.70 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 34 of their last 54 games at home (+12.00 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 36 games (+6.65 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 54 of their last 97 games (+5.25 Units / 4% ROI)
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the White Sox are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).
- away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
- away total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
- away total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).
- home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
- home total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
- home total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI
Royals vs White Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
Royals vs White Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Royals vs White Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
Royals vs White Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Sean Burke has allowed an OPS of 1.126 (93 PA’s) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 48 total IP; League Avg: .755 — first Percentile.
Sean Burke has thrown breaking pitches 48% of the time (242/504) when behind in the count this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 48 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 97th Percentile.
Sean Burke has a first-pitch strike rate of just 55% (280/508) this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 48 total IP; League Avg: 63% — first Percentile.
Sean Burke has allowed an OBP of .435 (92 PA’s) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 48 total IP; League Avg: .323 — first Percentile.
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
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BASE __basic__ __PitcherId__ __PI_NQSP__ __LongestHRDistance_P__ __Road_P__ PresentPerfect
Opponents are hitting .282 against Michael Lorenzen on low changeups this season — 10th worst among starting pitchers with at least 48 total IP– 13th Percentile. Opponents batted just .122 (9-for-74) against him on low changeups last season — seventh best among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP– 91st Percentile.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The White Sox are just 69-32 (.683) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .864.
The White Sox are just 7-89 (.073) when allowing 10 or more hits since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .251.
The White Sox are just 18-42 (.300) on the road this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .455.
The White Sox are just 82-169 (.327) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .536.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Royals are 33-18 (.647) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses this season They play the White Sox (Ranks 27th runs scored) today.
The Royals are 53-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .958.
The Royals are 20-5 (.800) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .707.
The Royals are 44-3 (.936) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .873.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
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BASE __basic__ __HTeamId__ __HT__ __Win__ __Overall__ PresentPerfect
BASE __basic__ __HTeamId__ __HT__ __Win__ __Road_H__ PresentPerfect
The White Sox have a winning percentage of just 26% on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters have struck out in just 17% of their PA’s against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Royals hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA’s this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Royals hitters have an OPS of just .883 (848 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 1.068.
Royals hitters have drawn walks in 7% of their PA’s this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
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BASE __basic__ __PTeamId__ __PT__ __OneRunWinPct__ __Home_H__ PresentPerfect
BASE __basic__ __PTeamId__ __PT__ __OneRunWin__ __Home_H__ PresentPerfect
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Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
The Royals pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 88.6 MPH this season (3,114 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.4
Royals pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 88.6 MPH (3,114 batted balls) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.4.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 20% against Royals pitchers this month (13 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 33% with two-strikes over the last 14 days — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 41%.
More MLB Reading:
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