Chicago White Sox vs Kansas City Royals Prediction 8/16/2025 Today’s MLB Picks

The Kansas City Royals and the Chicago White Sox meet Saturday in MLB action from Rate Field. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Kansas City Royals vs. Chicago White Sox prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

Michael Lorenzen will get the nod for Kansas City in this one and Lorenzen is 5-8 with a 4.61 ERA and 85 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against the White Sox, Lorenzen is 2-0 with a 2.18 ERA and 27 strikeouts. The Chicago White Sox will start Sean Burke here and Burke is 4-9 with a 4.26 ERA and 107 strikeouts this season. This will be Burke’s second career start against the Royals.

Kansas City Royals Recap

The Kansas City Royals come into this game looking to build on their win over the White Sox from Friday’s opening matchup by a final score of 3-1 to sit at 61-61 this season. After this series, the Royals will take on the Texas Rangers in a series at home.

Royals Looking For Back-To-Back Series Wins

Bobby Witt Jr. has 135 hits with 37 doubles and 30 stolen bases along with 4 triples, 17 home runs and 67 RBIs while Vinnie Pasquantino has 120 hits with 20 doubles, a triple, 22 home runs and 80 RBIs. Maikel Garcia’s added 133 hits with 31 doubles, 5 triples, 11 home runs and 51 RBIs and 22 stolen bases and Salvador Perez also has 21 home runs and 68 RBIs but also has 98 strikeouts so far this season.

Why the Kansas City Royals will win

• The White Sox have lost each of their last 12 games at Kauffman Stadium.
• The Royals have won each of their last nine home games against the White Sox following a win.
• The home team has covered the run line in each of the White Sox’s last five games.
• The White Sox have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last 10 games at Kauffman Stadium.

Kansas City Royals Player Prop Facts

• Michael Lorenzen has recorded four or more strikeouts in each of his last eight appearances against AL opponents.
• Adam Frazier has recorded a Double in three of his last four home appearances against AL Central opponents.
• Michael Lorenzen has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances at Kauffman Stadium against AL opponents that held a losing record.
• MJ Melendez has hit a home run in three of his last four home appearances against the White Sox.
• Bobby Witt Jr. has recorded at least one hit in each of the Royals’ last 16 games against the White Sox.
• Bobby Witt Jr. ranks T4th in the league in Hits (137) this season.

Chicago White Sox Recap

The Chicago White Sox come into this game looking to bounce back from their loss at the hands of the Royals in Friday’s series opener to sit at 44-78 this season. After this series, the White Sox will head on the road for a series against the Atlanta Braves.

White Sox Lose 8 Of Their Last 10

Lenyn Sosa has 102 hits including 16 doubles and 48 RBIs. Andrew Benintendi has 72 hits including 13 doubles, 14 home runs, 45 RBIs and a .223 batting average while Miguel Vargas has 90 hits, 25 doubles, 13 home runs and 44 RBIs. Brooks Baldwin has also added 26 RBIs while Luis Robert Jr. has a team-high 31 stolen bases along with 47 RBIs so far this season. Chase Meidroth has added 78 hits with 11 stolen bases as well as 12 doubles this season.

Why the Chicago White Sox will win

• The Royals have lost four of their last five games as favorites against AL Central opponents following a win.
• The White Sox have won each of their last three Saturday games as road underdogs.
• The Royals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven night games against AL Central opponents following a home win.
• The White Sox have covered the run line in each of their last four games after playing the previous day.

Chicago White Sox Player Prop Facts

• Andrew Benintendi has recorded at least one Double in three of his last four appearances against the Royals after playing the previous day.
• Michael A. Taylor has hit a home run in two of the White Sox’s last three games as road underdogs.
• Luis Robert has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven road appearances after playing the previous day.
• Luis Robert ranks T5th in the league in Steals (31) this season.

Total Runs Facts

• Ten of the last 11 games between the White Sox and Royals at Kauffman Stadium have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Five of the White Sox’s last six road games against AL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.

Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royals Prediction

I’m going to back the under in this game. I get the case to be made for either side and realistically, I’m not a fan of either starter or either offense here. However I think the offenses will struggle in general and it’s going to be a low-scoring game, not because of dominant pitching, but because of just inconsistent offense across the board. Give me the under in this one.

Chris Ruffolo’s Pick: Under 9.5