Orioles vs Royals Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for July 12

Odds updated as of 2:12 a.m.

The Baltimore Orioles will take on the Kansas City Royals in MLB action on Sunday.

Here’s what you need to know before checking out today’s MLB odds and spreads on FanDuel Sportsbook.

• Baltimore Orioles (45-51) vs. Kansas City Royals (38-58)
• Date: Sunday, July 12, 2026
• Time: 1:35 p.m. ET
• Venue: Oriole Park at Camden Yards — Baltimore, Maryland
• Coverage: MASN and Royals.TV

• All MLB odds, betting lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
• Moneyline: BAL: (-148) | KC: (+126)
• Spread: BAL: -1.5 (+142) | KC: +1.5 (-172)
• Total: 9.5 — Over: (-106) | Under: (-114)

Orioles vs Royals Probable Starting Pitchers

Probable Pitchers: Shane Baz (Orioles) – 4-9, 4.21 ERA vs Seth Lugo (Royals) – 3-6, 4.56 ERA

The Orioles will look to Shane Baz (4-9) against the Royals and Seth Lugo (3-6). When Baz starts, his team is 6-11-0 against the spread this season. Baz’s team is 3-5 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite. The Royals are 9-9-0 against the spread when Lugo starts. The Royals have been the underdog on the moneyline in 12 of Lugo’s starts this season, and they went 5-7 in those games.

All MLB win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Orioles win (54%)

• Baltimore is the favorite, -148 on the moneyline, while Kansas City is a +126 underdog on the road.

• The Orioles are hosting the Royals and are favored by 1.5 runs on the spread. The Orioles are +142 to cover the runline, with the Royals being -172.

• Orioles versus Royals on July 12 has an over/under of 9.5 runs, with the odds on the over -106 and the under set at -114.

Bet on Baltimore Orioles vs. Kansas City Royals on FanDuel today!

• The Orioles have come away with 24 wins in the 48 contests they have been listed as the favorites in this season.
• Baltimore has a record of 7-3 in contests when sportsbooks favor them by -148 or more on the moneyline.
• Contests with the Orioles have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 52 of 95 chances this season.
• The Orioles are 47-48-0 against the spread in their 95 games that had a posted line this season.
• The Royals have been the underdog on the moneyline 61 total times this season. They’ve finished 22-39 in those games.
• Kansas City has gone 5-9 in games it has played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +126 or longer (35.7%).
• The Royals have combined with opponents to hit the over on the total 45 times this season for a 45-46-1 record against the over/under.
• The Royals have covered 43.5% of their games this season, going 40-52-0 ATS.

Orioles Player Leaders

• Pete Alonso leads Baltimore in total hits (90) this season while batting .253 with 38 extra-base hits. He has an on-base percentage of .348 and a slugging percentage of .478.
• Among all qualifying hitters, he ranks 79th in batting average, his on-base percentage ranks 46th, and he is 36th in slugging.
• Alonso will look for his third straight game with a hit in this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .294 with a double, two home runs, three walks and four RBIs.
• Gunnar Henderson is hitting .219 with 16 doubles, two triples, 17 home runs and 34 walks, while slugging .401 with an on-base percentage of .290.
• He is 132nd in batting average, 136th in on-base percentage and 96th in slugging in the majors.
• Henderson brings a two-game streak with at least one hit into this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .150 with a home run and two RBIs.
• Taylor Ward has a team-best OPS of .745, fueled by a slash line of .256/.385/.361 this season.
• Ward has recorded a hit in four straight games. During his last five outings he is batting .333 with a home run, six walks and two RBIs.
• Adley Rutschman is batting .253 with a .327 OBP and 47 RBI for Baltimore this season.

Royals Player Leaders

• Bobby Witt Jr. has racked up a team-best OBP (.354) and slugging percentage (.459). He’s batting .285.
• Including all the qualifying hitters in MLB, his batting average places him 26th, his on-base percentage is 38th, and he is 53rd in slugging.
• Carter Jensen is batting .240 with 18 doubles, 13 home runs and 31 walks. He’s slugging .428 with an on-base percentage of .308.
• He is currently 105th in batting average, 113th in on-base percentage and 73rd in slugging percentage among all qualified hitters.
• Jac Caglianone has totaled 82 hits, a team-high for the Royals.
• Vinnie Pasquantino is hitting .222 with 10 doubles, two triples, six home runs and 33 walks.

• 7/11/2026: 6-1 BAL (Favorite: Orioles, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -158, Underdog Moneyline: +134)
• 7/10/2026: 5-3 BAL (Favorite: Orioles, Spread: -1.5, Total: 10.5, Favorite Moneyline: -156, Underdog Moneyline: +132)
• 4/22/2026: 8-6 BAL (Favorite: Royals, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9.5, Favorite Moneyline: -130, Underdog Moneyline: +110)
• 4/21/2026: 6-5 KC (Favorite: Royals, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -124, Underdog Moneyline: +106)
• 4/20/2026: 7-5 BAL (Favorite: Orioles, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -116, Underdog Moneyline: -102)
• 5/4/2025: 11-6 KC (Favorite: Orioles, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9.5, Favorite Moneyline: -136, Underdog Moneyline: +116)
• 5/3/2025: 4-0 KC (Favorite: Orioles, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -110, Underdog Moneyline: -106)
• 5/2/2025: 3-0 BAL (Favorite: Orioles, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9.5, Favorite Moneyline: -142, Underdog Moneyline: +120)
• 4/6/2025: 4-1 KC (Favorite: Royals, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -112, Underdog Moneyline: -104)
• 4/5/2025: 8-1 BAL (Favorite: Royals, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -118, Underdog Moneyline: -100)

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