Phillies vs. Royals Prediction, Odds, Picks – September 12

Data Skrive

Bryce Harper and the Philadelphia Phillies will meet Bobby Witt Jr. and the Kansas City Royals on Friday at Citizens Bank Park, at 6:45 p.m. ET. The favored Phillies have -131 moneyline odds to win against the underdog Royals, who are listed at +111. Philadelphia is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The contest’s over/under has been set at 9 runs.

Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Phillies-Royals game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Phillies vs. Royals Game Information & Odds

• When: Friday, September 12, 2025 at 6:45 p.m. ET
• Where: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
• How to watch on TV: NBCS-PH and FDSKC

Phillies vs. Royals Prediction

• Score Prediction: Phillies 5, Royals 4
• Total Prediction: Under 9 runs
• Win Probabilities: Phillies 56%, Royals 44%

Phillies vs. Royals Betting Insights

• This season, the Phillies have won 73 out of the 118 games, or 61.9%, in which they’ve been favored.
• This season Philadelphia has won 62 of its 94 games, or 66%, when favored by at least -131 on the moneyline.
• The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 56.7% chance of a victory for the Phillies.
• The Royals have won in 38, or 46.3%, of the 82 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
• This year, Kansas City has won 20 of 46 games when listed as at least +111 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Royals have a 47.4% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

• The Phillies played as the moneyline favorite for seven of their last 10 games, and finished 4-3 in those matchups.
• Over their last 10 matchups (all had set totals), the Phillies combined with their opponents to hit the over on the total four times.
• The Phillies have gone 7-3-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Phillies Recent Stats

Phillies Player Insights

• Kyle Schwarber is the Phillies best power hitter, crushing 50 homers this season in addition to collecting 123 RBI, both team highs.
• In all of MLB, Schwarber is second in home runs and first in RBI.
• Schwarber carries a two-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .176 with a home run, five walks and four RBIs.
• Harper is batting .263 with 30 doubles, 25 home runs and 58 walks.
• Among all MLB hitters, Harper is 38th in home runs and 72nd in RBI.
• Harper enters this game looking for his third game in a row with a hit. During his last five outings he is hitting .238 with a double, two home runs and three RBIs.
• Bryson Stott is batting .254 with 20 doubles, three triples, 10 home runs and 49 walks.
• Stott will look to build on his three-game hitting in this game. During his last five outings he is batting .353 with a double, two walks and two RBIs.
• Nick Castellanos is batting .253 with 26 doubles, two triples, 16 home runs and 29 walks.
• Castellanos has recorded at least one hit in four straight games. During his last five outings he is batting .294 with a double, a triple, two walks and four RBIs.

Royals Recent Betting Performance

• The Royals have played as underdogs in five of their past 10 games and won two of those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Royals and their opponents have combined to hit the over two times.
• The Royals have won one of their last 10 games against the spread.

Royals Recent Stats

Royals Player Insights

• Witt paces the Royals with a .295 batting average.
• In all of the majors, Witt is 60th in home runs and 42nd in RBI.
• Maikel Garcia is hitting .292 with 36 doubles, five triples, 16 home runs and 54 walks.
• Garcia is currently 110th in homers and 72nd in RBI in the big leagues.
• Vinnie Pasquantino has been a significant run producer for the Royals with 29 home runs and 100 runs batted in.
• Salvador Perez is hitting .235 with 34 doubles, 25 home runs and 23 walks.

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FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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