Stan Son takes you through his preview, prediction and pick for Tuesday’s game between the Royals and Guardians.
This is the second contest of a four-game series in Cleveland between the Guardians and visiting Kansas City Royals.
Noah Cameron is scheduled to pitch for Kansas City, while Joey Cantillo is slated to start for Cleveland.
Royals at Guardians prediction, preview
Noah Cameron has had a fairly successful rookie campaign, posting a 3.03 ERA through 113 innings. The walk rate is 7.8%, and he’s allowed 14 home runs. The FIP is higher at 4.23, though, as the BABIP is just .245 and the strand rate is 83.5%. The swinging strike rate is solid at 11%, but the chase rate is only 26%. Cameron has done a good job limiting hard contact, with an average exit velocity of 87.7 mph, a barrel rate of 5.4%, and a hard-hit rate of 37.2%.
Eleven of the 14 home runs have come off the bats of righties, and nine have been served up at home. The K-BB% is 5.3% higher against lefties, while the FIP is 0.70 lower. His numbers are better at home overall, with a K-BB% 5% higher, though the FIP is slightly higher due to a 1.33 HR/9 compared to 0.87 on the road.
In 20 starts, Cameron has allowed more than three earned runs five times. He’s gone at least six innings nine times, though five of those came in his first five starts. He faced Cleveland in late July at home, going five innings, walking one, and striking out six without allowing an earned run on three hits.
Against left-handed pitching, the Guardians rank 10th in strikeout rate and 23rd in ISO. Their wOBA ranks 28th in MLB.
Joey Cantillo is a lefty who averages 91.5 mph on the fastball but is posting a 27.7% strikeout rate and a 12.4% swinging strike rate through 72.1 innings. He hasn’t been starting all season, as only nine of his 30 appearances have come in a starting role. His 3.73 ERA is supported by a 3.75 FIP. The walk rate is elevated at 12.1%, but he’s allowed only eight home runs.
His K-BB% is 5.1% higher against righties, while both the HR/9 and FIP are higher against lefties. At home, the K-BB% is 4.2% higher, but the FIP is slightly elevated due to the higher HR/9.
Cantillo has started the last nine games. Over that span, he has allowed more than three earned runs twice and gone at least six innings only once. He faced Kansas City five starts ago, going four innings, walking four, and striking out four while allowing three earned runs on six hits. That game was in Kansas City.
Against left-handed pitching, the Royals have the 25th-highest strikeout rate, the 27th-best ISO, and rank 22nd in MLB in wOBA.
As for the bullpens, since August 1, Kansas City ranks second in FIP, while Cleveland ranks first.
Royals at Guardians pick, best bet
Both starters have warts, but both offenses are the opposite of juggernauts. In addition, both bullpens have been very good.
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‘ Some details of this article were extracted from the following source dknetwork.draftkings.com ’
