After two nights handing out awards, the Creative Arts Emmys wrapped up last night, having shed some light on how this Sunday’s main event might shake out.
There are still major question marks hovering over some of the biggest races yet to be decided. (Don’t focus too much on the number of awards Severance has already collected!) But some of the early winners do suggest certain ways that the voting body was leaning when they cast their ballots last month.
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So what did the Creative Arts Emmys have to tell us about the show this Sunday? Here’s the rundown of everything we’re thinking about — and how we’re adjusting our predictions — after this weekend.
Best Drama Series still doesn’t have a frontrunner
The year’s most stubbornly unpredictable race didn’t get much clarity after the first two nights of winner announcements. Yes, Severance did take home the most awards of any drama series (six, including an odds-defying win for Merritt Wever), but the two-win The Pitt took home the trophy that counts — at least in terms of predictive power.
As previously discussed on Gold Derby, shows that win in the Best Casting category have taken the Best Series award 80 percent of the time over the last decade. The Pitt won Best Casting, as did The Studio and Adolescence — current favorites for the top prizes in Comedy and Limited Series, respectively. So even though it may seem that Severance holds the advantage coming out of Creative Arts, don’t count out The Pitt just yet.
It may have a dark horse, though
But if we were going to place importance on the number of awards won during the two initial nights of announcements, it would be worth noting that Andor, the critically adored Star Wars series starring Diego Luna, took home four Emmys — two more trophies than The Pitt.
Could we be on the cusp of a very shocking finale to this Emmy season? Considering how tight the Best Drama Series category has been, it would be fitting.
That’s a wrap on comedy
As the perfect counterpoint to Best Drama Series, Best Comedy Series is looking positively drama-free. That’s because The Studio has all but ascended to the stage to accept the award already (and thank Sal Saperstein, obviously). Seth Rogen and Evan Goldberg‘s Hollywood did super good at the Creative Arts Emmys, winning nine awards — more than any other series.
The Studio could also be poised to break a major record along the way. Last year, The Bear won 11 Emmys in total, breaking its own record for most wins for a comedy series in a given year. With just three awards to go — including the safe bet of Best Comedy Series — The Studio is in good shape to go all the way.
The Late Show‘s odds just went up
It’s unlikely that this much attention has ever been paid to the Best Directing for a Variety Series category. That’s because Jim Hoskinson‘s win — his first after an astonishing 20 nominations between The Late Show and The Colbert Report — broke another significant losing streak.
The win was the very first The Late Show With Stephen Colbert, and it just so happened to coincide with the highly suspect canceling of the show. With the late night talk show’s odds way up since the news broke, the win for directing seems to confirm that some more good might come out of a very ugly situation.
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