Royals vs Yankees Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today

• The Yankees are -190 favorites vs the Royals
• Royals vs Yankees Over / Under today: 8 Runs
• Royals / Yankees TV Channel: RYTV | YES

The Kansas City Royals (+154) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-190) on April 17, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05 pm in Bronx, NY.

This season, the Royals are 7-12 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 8-11 ATS.

Royals vs Yankees Starting Pitchers Today:

• Royals starting pitcher: Michael Wacha 2-0, 0.43 ERA
• Yankees starting pitcher: Cam Schlittler 2-1, 2.49 ERA

Royals vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Friday‘s MLB game with 57.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:

• Carter Jensen has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 away games (+18.80 Units / 188% ROI)
• Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+17.10 Units / 56% ROI)
• Salvador Perez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+12.60 Units / 42% ROI)
• Salvador Perez has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+11.15 Units / 34% ROI)
• Salvador Perez has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 25 away games (+11.05 Units / 42% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Giancarlo Stanton has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 20 games (+12.85 Units / 64% ROI)
• Cody Bellinger has hit the RBIs Under in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+10.30 Units / 23% ROI)
• Trent Grisham has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+9.95 Units / 33% ROI)
• Ben Rice has hit the Runs Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+8.95 Units / 33% ROI)
• Cody Bellinger has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+8.95 Units / 17% ROI)

Royals Best Bets Today:

• The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 30 of their last 50 games (+8.75 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 50 games (+8.30 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 19 games (+7.15 Units / 33% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 16 away games (+5.20 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games (+2.60 Units / 28% ROI)

Yankees Best Bets Today:

• The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 9 of their last 10 games (+8.00 Units / 64% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 21 of their last 35 games at home (+7.20 Units / 11% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 35 games (+5.65 Units / 15% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.80 Units / 44% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 30 games at home (+3.15 Units / 9% ROI)

Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Royals are 9-9 against the Run Line (-1.5 Units / -5.75% ROI).

• 7-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.45 Units / -30.6% ROI
• 6-13 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.4 Units / -39.72% ROI
• 13-6 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.55 Units / 31.72% ROI

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 8-11 against the Run Line (-1.75 Units / -8.62% ROI).

• 10-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.9 Units / -21.04% ROI
• 8-9 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.9 Units / -9.16% ROI
• 9-8 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.05 Units / 0.24% ROI

Yankees vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yankees vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Yankees vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

The Royals are just 7-12 (.368) this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Royals were 73-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .956.

The Royals were 34-8 (.810) when they hit 2 or more home runs in the 2025 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .699.

The Royals are just 0-7 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .134.

Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Royals

The Yankees are 2-6 (.250) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .050.

The Yankees are 2-6 (.250) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .108.

The Yankees were 94-68 (.580) in the 2025 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Yankees are 49-22 (.690) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2025 season Today, they face the Royals (29th in runs scored).

Royals Hitting Stats & Trends

Royals hitters struck out in just 17% of their PA’s against RHP in the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Royals hitters had an OPS of just .892 (1,140 PA’s) when the pitcher was behind in the count in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Royals hitters have an OPS of just .369 (359 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB.

Royals hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA’s against RHP since the 2025 season — tied for best in MLB.

Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends

Yankees hitters drew walks in 11% of their PA’s against LHP in the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Yankees hitters have drawn walks in 11% of their PA’s against LHP since the 2024 season — best in MLB.

Yankees hitters slugged .457 against LHP in the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Yankees hitters have a swing rate of just 44% against LHP since the 2024 season — lowest in MLB.

Royals Pitching Stats & Trends

The Royals pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 88.7 MPH in the 2025 season (4,135 balls in play) — tied for best in MLB

The Royals have allowed 2.16 runs per game (41/19) in late innings this season — highest in MLB.

Royals pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of just 57% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% in close and late situations since the 2024 season — lowest in MLB.

Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends

Yankees pitchers have walked 5% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for best in MLB.

The Yankees pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 33% of their games on the road since the 2024 season — lowest in MLB.

The Yankees have allowed 2.33 runs per game (21/9) on the road this season — best in MLB.

Yankees pitchers have walked 2% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the past seven days (7 games) — best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

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